NBA · resolved market
Will the Boston Celtics finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd89236ac40d49d1e29ebb025ec86c7ad054cdce47caf2d173dbac315ddc566d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f78…37b3backed Yes | 2c | 9,972$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 71c | 2,397$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.1 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 25c | 1,720$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.24 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 10c | 1,710$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…ee2cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,117$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 890.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 10c | 710.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 666.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea3…466bbacked Yes | 4c | 657.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 16c | 405.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 339.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…bb7fbacked Yes | 31c | 331.81$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc02d…6eaabacked Yes | 32c | 310.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 7c | 289.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 5c | 282.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 15c | 275.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed Yes | 19c | 261.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 8c | 205.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Yes | 12c | 204.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Yes | 33c | 151.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…7235backed Yes | 17c | 144.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…8416backed Yes | 27c | 140$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 136.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…dda9backed Yes | 40c | 123.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 69c | 112.1$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…bfaebacked Yes | 17c | 96.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…cedebacked Yes | 15c | 82.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…828fbacked Yes | 18c | 67.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3115…ba90backed Yes | 68c | 45.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 30c | 34.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.30per pick | 27cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Boston Celtics finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New York Knicks finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.