NBA · resolved market
Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b6441a7dfbe6a9df36f7427a5516d264d430111002bbaa845e9dd1831a897fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 4,275$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 76c | 1,411$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.91 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 12c | 757.06$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 30c | 700$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.3 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed No | 70c | 700$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.3 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 4c | 573.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 13c | 546.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.75 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 12c | 533.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 68c | 418.97$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 12c | 393.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 36c | 331.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 16c | 325.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 8c | 313.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 58c | 288.11$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…21f2backed No | 38c | 266.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 73c | 205.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -9.1wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…91adbacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613f…b804backed No | 33c | 198.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…41a6backed No | 27c | 180.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…e72fbacked Yes | 61c | 176.49$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed No | 28c | 167.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 18c | 166.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d9…4102backed No | 25c | 161.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 45c | 153.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 65c | 140.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 36c | 139.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 73c | 121.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 76c | 118.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39d…2c58backed No | 24c | 104.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 65c | 94.77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224e…61fbbacked Yes | 79c | 88.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 15c | 82.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked No | 29c | 74.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 34c | 68.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…c37cbacked Yes | 74c | 67.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 36c | 53.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…61e3backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…10a0backed Yes | 75c | 39.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…2026backed Yes | 73c | 32.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…fb47backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb3…9858backed No | 39c | 25.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c7…0e11backed Yes | 79c | 25.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb316…ceadbacked Yes | 80c | 25.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…fa0fbacked Yes | 79c | 24.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 67c | 19.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…e024backed Yes | 77c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 71c | 16.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New York Knicks finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.