TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f76…fa0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 49 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Lol at 49 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.48
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$46.84
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$251.43
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$5.16
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$34.54
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$22.38
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$75
Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Wizards vs. Clippersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$48.25
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+490.3%+$117.67
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$64.66
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.1
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.23
LoL: LNG Esports vs Oh My God (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$73.41
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.