Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc39443c95dc9dd46bcf6270a1c45aa5506f1fda6b6a32ac49125a4ef5ab12a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 959.53$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.82 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 61c | 873.85$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.36 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 60c | 799.7$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 38c | 665.08$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.11 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 366.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 37c | 316.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 64c | 218.95$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 173$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 133.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed No | 39c | 128.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 61c | 122.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Yes | 63c | 98.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7549…c7e8backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…0efebacked No | 38c | 93.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 70c | 92.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 63c | 74.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…5694backed Yes | 63c | 63.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…fa0fbacked No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed No | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 61c | 50.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Yes | 60c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed No | 38c | 47.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 39c | 34.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 32.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…e5c3backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 64c | 30.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Yes | 57c | 20.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…523cbacked Yes | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 62c | 16.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 66 | 92.4%61 W · 5 L | +17.8wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.