TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,794 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c74…0d16backed Under1c1,050$11 inLost-$10.59152.7%48 W · 43 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Under14c999.99$140 inLost-$14010823.1%25 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under27c999.91$270 inLost-$269.975860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under31c993.99$307 inLost-$307.089329%27 W · 66 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over79c621.96$493 inWon+$128.932,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over76c402.63$306 inWon+$96.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over69c277.69$192 inWon+$86.091,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over73c176.67$129 inWon+$47.71,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under30c142$43 inLost-$42.66457.8%37 W · 27 L+10.9wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+51.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Over70c94.29$66 inWon+$28.295671.4%40 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over73c90.81$66 inWon+$24.5240156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under27c90$24 inLost-$24.33043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over69c66.13$46 inWon+$20.531,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under30c66$20 inLost-$19.81,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over76c52.7$40 inWon+$12.79055.6%50 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over73c50.23$37 inWon+$13.561,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under24c49.01$12 inLost-$11.7617757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee5…bc7bbacked Over72c41.67$30 inWon+$11.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b6…e60fbacked Over73c34.92$25 inWon+$9.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over73c32$23 inWon+$8.6447860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over70c30$21 inWon+$942351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon+$7.424656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over73c15.79$12 inWon+$4.2619856.1%111 W · 87 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa555…7594backed Over73c15$11 inWon+$4.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.