Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33675dcbe85de7f50f104bb8a6e162fa7bdee32aca026f0d1b0bf42040b9fdf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 66c | 16,794$11,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760.56 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 9,516$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.32 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 6,461$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 43c | 5,841$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.54 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 4,092$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.75 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 51c | 1,512$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.98 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa199…3796backed Under | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 30c | 941.4$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.98 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 70c | 757.18$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.6 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 489.7$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.25 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 35c | 313.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 28c | 305.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.69 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 35c | 272.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 29c | 245$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.95 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Over | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under | 65c | 219.72$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.82 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…4e20backed Under | 39c | 215.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 12c | 203.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Under | 55c | 198.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 40c | 167.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 68c | 154.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 65c | 150.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 30c | 125$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 76c | 69.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 62c | 64.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Under | 40c | 62.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 46c | 51.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee5…bc7bbacked Under | 58c | 51.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed Under | 39c | 44.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Under | 44c | 40.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 63c | 32.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Under | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 45c | 29.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 67c | 28.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 75 | 74.7%56 W · 19 L | +13.6wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 60c | 25.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…bcfcbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…cc0bbacked Under | 61c | 21.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 67c | 21.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 65c | 17.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.