Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd443a211d7f005c005ad8b488ec349d94ace355cf0cd8ed0366d883ee7d16f56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Nassr Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Shabab Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 54c | 3,169$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.79 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 51c | 1,356$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.85 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 53c | 1,128$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 49c | 1,031$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club | 47c | 986.5$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.72 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club | 17c | 880.21$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 52c | 856.25$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.68 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 48c | 747.08$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.55 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 690.59$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.33 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club | 47c | 613.64$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.25 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 53c | 575.47$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.47 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club | 49c | 333$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 51c | 281$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 277.95$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 49c | 221.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Al Shabab Saudi Club | 42c | 215$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 47c | 201.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 42c | 176.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 66c | 140.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club | 49c | 140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club | 47c | 119.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…0efebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 55c | 110.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 45c | 109.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 51c | 97.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 46c | 86.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 50c | 85.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 85.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club | 48c | 66.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 48c | 64.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 47c | 63.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 49c | 60.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 32c | 57.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…88acbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 51c | 52.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 46c | 42.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 42c | 25.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 62c | 17.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.