TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a57…88ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 61 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$135.44
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$15.39
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.79
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$82.22
Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+236.1%+$50.77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.16
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.49
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$30.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$13.03
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.95
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.22
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.69
Will Manchester City vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$11.56
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$12.96
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$22.15
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25.68
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.98
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.99
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.67
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$23.38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$45.51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$38.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$26.89
Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.46
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.48
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.77
Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Will Real Madrid beat Athletic Club?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+45.5%+$12.62
Will Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28.92
Will the match between Barcelona and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$13.9
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+102.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$435.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30.72
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$20.76
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$11.83
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$16.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9.03
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$10.74
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.02
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Nassr Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.