TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No58c23,878$13,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,887.9557839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No71c17,123$12,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,074.516350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes56c15,663$8,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,891.8515034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes31c15,158$4,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,472.1419840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes77c14,396$11,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,322.774254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No45c13,192$5,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,897.151,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2312…016fbacked Yes44c11,192$4,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,272.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c8,060$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,556.7644840.4%181 W · 267 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c7,982$5,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,456.791,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c5,122$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.593,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c4,894$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,461.414,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes32c4,375$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9756550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No70c3,689$2,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,582.134959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No69c3,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0708160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes32c2,931$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.084938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2c…e8e8backed No15c2,900$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42550%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No15c2,881$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.3121322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No70c2,833$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.11866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No45c2,787$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.0984144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No68c2,500$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7008246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Yes40c2,434$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Yes57c2,333$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.191546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No49c2,302$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.1212823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes30c2,072$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.63647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed No70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed No69c1,886$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.07850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No47c1,741$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.7613658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18e1…5916backed Yes32c1,586$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.335100%5 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+253.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.53611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No59c1,458$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8602556%14 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No71c1,254$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.329457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…2b18backed Yes74c1,198$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No70c1,170$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.2831952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No72c1,158$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.4713844.9%62 W · 76 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No71c1,142$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.9819255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes36c1,112$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.94639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes28c1,018$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.8612020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No70c910.49$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.342356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes32c869.13$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.014845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes75c778.73$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.42263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No55c759.87$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.6441239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No68c699.99$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.1948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e79…ed46backed No70c639$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed No61c638.16$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.282733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Yes29c628.59$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x162c…d511backed No69c600$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed Yes31c580.65$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.651136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No69c555.13$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.0415151%77 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No69c551.51$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.544456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes30c518.2$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.3765356.5%369 W · 284 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes32c515.63$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.632123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes34c503.72$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3403743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes32c487.5$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d28…6d7abacked Yes33c476$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No48c468.48$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5934044.4%151 W · 189 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No41c467.16$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.41,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No70c453.74$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.4834252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No70c430$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c419.64$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.4270050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes49c402.29$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.171353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No48c398.25$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.549931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Yes76c395.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.22759.3%16 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes32c387.04$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.4733734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef79…d251backed No70c383.56$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes28c375.28$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9643250.7%219 W · 213 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes30c374.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf23a…d412backed Yes28c347.54$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.541040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b3…70d9backed No70c343$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36be…30bcbacked No70c315.61$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes49c300.41$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2110843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20442557.9%246 W · 179 L+1.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No28c299.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0926641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfa…d05cbacked No70c277.17$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.0230%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53bf…70d9backed No70c270.79$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb4…8ba4backed No70c263.06$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc513…98babacked No52c262.95$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.691241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick27cpaid+84.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb4…bbc5backed No70c255.53$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc35…2329backed No70c250.29$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes32c240$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.23333.3%11 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes26c239.7$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.389237%34 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No69c222.29$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.386243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes31c204.39$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.577157.7%41 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13813644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No49c199.73$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7128138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes32c196.63$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7111342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked Yes30c191.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.232450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes32c187.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.53948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes32c187.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.52744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+38.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes41c184.43$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.813450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No70c178.7$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0912042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5723252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c159.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.312,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No12c158.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.214643.2%63 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Yes32c156.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.593148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.252931%9 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.252516%4 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-60.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes32c155.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4417044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No64c153.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8869350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.