TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.9617248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No68c19,898$13,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,352.4756439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes26c14,347$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7503611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes23c11,410$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.061,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes52c11,000$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7202850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c10,118$7,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.931,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes27c9,132$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.7919840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c8,557$6,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.792,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes22c6,963$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes19c6,434$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.4960732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No74c5,423$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.6650249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes53c5,422$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8602951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda6…84c5backed Yes52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+182.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes27c4,630$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2502839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No75c4,419$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.3940357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked No63c3,824$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.436858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes26c3,150$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81915516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Yes31c2,602$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.411060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked No74c2,471$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.451163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes26c2,469$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.0313419.4%26 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes26c2,305$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.787927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No74c1,968$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.592657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes52c1,905$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34aa…d3f3backed Yes53c1,879$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No74c1,824$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.1568050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No77c1,783$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.033450%17 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Yes25c1,721$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.259956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes15c1,714$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes26c1,694$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.44938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No74c1,679$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.5428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No73c1,557$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.273548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No75c1,438$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.161,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4761…4211backed Yes26c1,289$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Yes29c1,231$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.831145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+60.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xac20…a68abacked Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes24c1,084$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.18287.1%2 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-66.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c1,047$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.064,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes20c1,003$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-60.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5302934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27023855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No79c968.17$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0313658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes54c951.12$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.782844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5892…8bf3backed Yes53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed No77c885.71$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.71825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes26c837.27$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6910634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes30c780$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7298833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c779.94$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.843,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7976…e3c4backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No57c706.07$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.8861557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked No75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.674454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes26c660$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.63630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82b6…57bebacked Yes24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes26c611.35$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9510938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c599.99$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15863757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No73c599.32$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.8235442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No74c589.01$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6741351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes26c561.54$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1464634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked No75c555$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes23c527.62$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5912823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No76c526.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4739338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes27c505.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.511120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0833…c18ebacked No77c504.42$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2159946.5%46 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa71…8aa0backed Yes54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae92…d367backed No73c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135875%6 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No74c499.98$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.993658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes25c460$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152536%9 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes15c447.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1733734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes12c416.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x061e…6a2cbacked No73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff48…4836backed Yes53c402$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.03520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-73.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed No75c401.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.83158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked No65c391.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No73c391.05$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.547653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014549.7%72 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes26c380.65$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…03b4backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+109.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes27c366.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.467157.7%41 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes33c363$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes25c360$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.49238%35 W · 57 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No78c349.22$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.318537.6%32 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No74c348$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c346.55$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.841,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes27c306.96$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1620050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x909e…735cbacked Yes26c305.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17121322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7819662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes24c291.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c291.52$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6675051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed No48c279.17$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.177865.4%51 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.273948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…1938backed No74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.271154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.