TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$727,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$746,462

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes43c191,370$82,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82,399.915034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes44c39,999$17,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,599.7717248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No58c28,000$16,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,759.985754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No56c27,748$15,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,089.167553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c18,902$10,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,311.311,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No56c18,888$10,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,310.726127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c18,875$10,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,290.74,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No56c17,783$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,782.9140357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No56c17,642$9,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,700.8814146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No66c14,985$9,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,094.93441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No62c13,907$8,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,256.2213744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No67c11,484$7,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,786.71968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+50.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No56c10,920$6,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,804.6122455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No57c9,500$5,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,094.935750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes43c9,373$4,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,030.21735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c14…52c8backed Yes40c9,062$3,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,624.98520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No57c8,412$4,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,605.255853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes39c8,389$3,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,252.261,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52060%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No57c8,000$4,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,419.946051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a15…dbacbacked No58c7,880$4,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,309.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No57c7,648$4,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,319.4919840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No58c7,226$4,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.195749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes35c7,112$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.4756439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Yes43c6,977$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No56c6,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,64015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5805253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No58c6,000$3,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.995050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c5,521$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.872,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5c5…7a06backed Yes45c5,455$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd92e…763dbacked No56c5,284$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes42c5,165$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.315459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3744…c141backed Yes34c5,161$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.7860%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes34c5,157$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.543253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed No57c4,999$2,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.272475%18 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+63.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes31c4,788$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes10c4,773$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-64%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes42c4,761$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.6250249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No56c4,749$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.629457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c1…c2c6backed No57c4,681$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,012.72352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes43c4,545$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,954.542842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3424…20f3backed No56c4,409$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed99…92cabacked Yes45c4,357$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes25c4,141$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.3461557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Yes44c4,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No57c3,788$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.923452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No60c3,448$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.225872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0347…7e7abacked No56c3,300$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4524100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No56c3,200$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40811054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb47…2bb6backed No57c3,150$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No57c2,990$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.3113051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes43c2,884$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.9863757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No58c2,502$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0518246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dee…8780backed Yes44c2,462$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No57c2,400$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.984850%24 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed53…ca2cbacked No56c2,236$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No58c2,069$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.972857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed No58c2,069$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.973253.1%17 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…0b78backed No56c2,032$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked No57c2,031$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.5214250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes36c2,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7105141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No57c1,842$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.3820159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes43c1,829$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.4728045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…d4c6backed Yes44c1,828$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes28c1,772$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8c…18abbacked Yes44c1,716$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Yes16c1,708$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.191546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No66c1,667$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.673650%18 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dba…1f27backed Yes44c1,663$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aef…ccfbbacked No56c1,573$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No57c1,513$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.594528.9%13 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked No68c1,474$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.6311159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes44c1,440$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.549447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No57c1,413$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.591866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No56c1,400$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61610760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0be6…3b7fbacked Yes42c1,393$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.112445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes25c1,380$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3451163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca3…590fbacked No58c1,365$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.773145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes44c1,364$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa03f…fa16backed Yes18c1,337$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.261010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c1,286$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.181,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No60c1,249$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.784582.2%37 W · 8 L+10.0wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50411566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52810558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5161442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c1,171$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.663,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa739…c23dbacked Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes42c1,101$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.4913445.5%61 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No58c1,083$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.97560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Yes36c1,001$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4407358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No58c999.98$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9912757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked No58c999.93$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.973658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No57c959.97$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.7548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes43c930.26$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.567927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.