La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e7dc2b29a52b789675f56c13374567e036e3bf177aadc721a070d61e00fcf31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 5,634$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.96 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 60c | 4,179$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.2 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 3,333$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.85 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.98 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 1,653$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.87 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes | 58c | 1,552$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 1,056$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.25 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 42c | 744.93$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.32 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Yes | 58c | 728.85$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.12 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 41c | 711.89$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.97 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 42c | 699.91$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.36 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…7980backed Yes | 59c | 690.38$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 40c | 469.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.79 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked No | 41c | 447.39$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.83 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 58c | 382.76$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.76 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes | 59c | 339.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 62c | 316.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 58c | 210.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Yes | 58c | 195.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…fbf5backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 40c | 119.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 60c | 106.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 100.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 177 | 59.3%105 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 56c | 88.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…582abacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Yes | 60c | 85.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…52d5backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed No | 28c | 70.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 59c | 60.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…4268backed Yes | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed No | 44c | 52.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked No | 44c | 50.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 61c | 49.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed No | 39c | 45.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Yes | 57c | 43.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed0a…c809backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…ebb0backed Yes | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 40c | 29.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 44c | 28.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 58c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 46c | 22.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6253backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…b4c4backed Yes | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 54c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…88acbacked Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 58c | 18.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 59c | 17.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.