TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,737 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf284…b9f9backed Under68c22,144$14,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,187.693240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under53c8,834$4,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,133.274141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c8,719$3,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,586.134,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9210820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over39c3,590$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4006550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over38c2,553$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.135151%26 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c2,105$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.171,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c2,061$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.73,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed Under54c1,770$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.06850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under64c1,562$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.3250449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over33c1,516$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over49c1,447$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.037656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc283…b876backed Over37c1,389$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5142222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under61c1,329$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.3314146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under36c1,250$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80012020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under63c1,171$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.9392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Under69c1,145$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.95977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under50c1,136$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.57653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under69c1,130$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.6999933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Over36c999.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…8e52backed Over48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over43c734.49$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.23151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under62c729.61$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under45c649$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.1613251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over49c572.34$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.936459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under68c555$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.384971.4%35 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under77c539.07$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6161657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over39c521.84$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.657139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over24c499.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under58c496.32$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.452941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under61c495.43$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over47c493$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.713444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.512445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over49c407.84$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over54c406.35$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Under51c370.2$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.018672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over46c369.71$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.072850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Over47c363.94$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c360.63$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6564457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under56c357.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3622939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under63c301.95$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.964360.5%26 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over11c278.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6620142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1da…0370backed Under71c211.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.341729.4%5 W · 12 L-5.3wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-55.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb51b…78a9backed Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+52.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over61c195.08$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1196852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under63c186.06$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.841,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Under55c182.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.342454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over61c165$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7518656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292576%19 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3e02…3667backed Under74c159.4$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.441163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over44c157.62$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9520241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c9c…0f82backed Over36c154.78$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Under65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over42c146.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8259655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Under75c138.33$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.685056%28 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Under64c134.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.367960.8%48 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over57c131.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19ee…446cbacked Over51c118.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over48c109.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.83933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over41c106.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0637348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under61c105.69$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2222658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3615344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40db…7980backed Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f1…09d2backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.052774.1%20 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7978…dad7backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1118…028cbacked Over45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c96.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under49c95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.458347%39 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over42c93.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1122760.4%137 W · 90 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under62c93.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.475570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under42c91.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3822859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7a6…aed7backed Under50c89.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.363262.5%20 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.295451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over35c84.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6111046.4%51 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fb…e26abacked Under72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under57c82.45$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2428138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under54c80.52$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.423548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.242158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ab…97b6backed Under56c78.2$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b37…039dbacked Over43c77.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over46c75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.764551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb26d…923ebacked Under68c72.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.18850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af5…992abacked Over35c71.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c3…443ebacked Under66c71.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.212638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe06d…5e5fbacked Under63c71.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over33c70.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4620253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed Under59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79e1…982dbacked Under60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over35c68.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.25560%33 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a94…653abacked Under67c65.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.53475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over36c64.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.316348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.