TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeceb…29a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.45
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.61
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.72
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.43
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.99
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.36
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.09
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.99
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+79%+$20.39
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$6.14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$5.7
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+62%+$8.27
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$15.32
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+44%+$4.77
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$7.63
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+45%+$20.19
CA Paranaense vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$9.82
Red Bull Bragantino vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.55
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
CD Guadalajara vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$30.86
CD Guadalajara vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
SE Palmeiras vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$6.25
Fluminense FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$4.1
Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)backed São Paulo FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$9.24
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$20.02
CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$16.22
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$15.32
Spread: AA Argentinos Juniors (-1.5)backed CA Huracán · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.95
All 19 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)backed Wuhan San Zhen FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$7.62
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Gangwon FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38%+$18.33
V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.45
Incheon United FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$9.07
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$3.56
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Hazem SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+229.1%+$24.36
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.52
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.24
Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)backed Gwangju FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$11.58
Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.54
Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.65
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$7.31
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$11.16
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.01
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.69
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$13.81
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.72
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$31.05
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$4.8
Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.87
Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$22.62
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.85
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.74
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.58
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.7
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.52
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Juan Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$140.09
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Timmy Cuamba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tuco Tokkos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Ketlen Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$88.35
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Cody Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$58.67
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Artur Minev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.18
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+67%+$63.84
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.23
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Polyana Viana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.59
All 12 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nashville SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.69
San Jose Earthquakes vs. FC Dallas: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Real Salt Lake vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+32%+$5.03
Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.37
Austin FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$14.08
CF Montréal vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+152.7%+$21.92
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed San Jose Earthquakes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.25
Real Salt Lake vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
St. Louis City SC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.02
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$11.89
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$5.67
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$21.77
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$29.02
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SpVgg Greuther Fürth (-1.5)backed TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$9.11
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed 1. FC Köln · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.08
FC Arouca vs. CD Tondela: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$12.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$11.03
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$102.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.