MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdba21a9a18bd4131b4d324b26b0312445d0f0676b82a111de907dc4afff4a713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $596,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $613,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $596,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Houston Astros | 40c | 332,475$131,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,809.89 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 87,000$53,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,069.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 80,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 32,842$19,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,705.46 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 25,600$15,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,360 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 24,742$12,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,865.98 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Houston Astros | 39c | 21,450$8,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,145.39 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 21,352$12,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,917 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 19,375$11,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,625 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 16,129$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 14,702$7,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,995.41 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 14,272$8,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,745.9 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 12,616$7,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,814 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 54c | 10,279$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 10,131$6,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,178.78 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 8,752$4,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.28 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.8 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Houston Astros | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Houston Astros | 38c | 6,613$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.31 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 18c | 6,024$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.32 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Chicago Cubs | 11c | 5,308$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.94 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 38c | 5,248$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.02 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 4,633$2,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.6 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 4,124$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.33 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 37c | 3,009$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Houston Astros | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.98 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Houston Astros | 23c | 2,991$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.3 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Houston Astros | 20c | 2,883$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.87 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,830$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.02 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,673$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.39 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee2…6527backed Houston Astros | 40c | 2,309$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Houston Astros | 36c | 2,021$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.44 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.13 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Houston Astros | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Houston Astros | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Houston Astros | 40c | 1,975$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 1,915$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.64 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…20f7backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,913$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…3709backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,822$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,811$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.93 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,769$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b79…0149backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,751$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…20b0backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,730$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 1,632$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…7fbdbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,614$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,587$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.13 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…6cafbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,586$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 77c | 1,477$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.07 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,469$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.38 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 77c | 1,432$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.24 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Houston Astros | 38c | 1,399$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.38 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,370$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.16 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 1,306$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.84 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,150$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.5 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,056$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.72 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago Cubs | 37c | 1,050$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.25 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 1,009$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.56 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Houston Astros | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Chicago Cubs | 12c | 940$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +224.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 842.63$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.14 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 62c | 835.47$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…b6ddbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 800.01$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 39c | 780$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 750$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.25 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Houston Astros | 76c | 736$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.92 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…58e9backed Chicago Cubs | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Houston Astros | 40c | 619.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.58 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 597.83$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.11 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd014…c792backed Houston Astros | 67c | 575.36$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Houston Astros | 40c | 550$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 533.77$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.6 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Houston Astros | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Houston Astros | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Houston Astros | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 481.92$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.15 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 471.17$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Chicago Cubs | 66c | 453.59$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.97 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 453$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.33 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 437.17$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.42 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros | 39c | 419.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.3 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 395.16$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 384.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.84 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Houston Astros | 40c | 376.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.66 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 370.74$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.21 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Houston Astros | 40c | 337.42$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.97 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 332.01$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.03 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.