WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7becdaa46678bcacddacecf41d8438c03f4da6f3f03220d2ec9381025aeb6a09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Indiana Fever, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,999.99 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 22,717$11,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,585.76 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 19,802$9,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,294.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 12,500$6,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,434.77 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 8,999$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.47 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 6,666$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 6,336$3,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.73 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 5,851$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.59 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 4,994$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.75 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 4,994$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.75 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 4,009$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 1,594$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.68 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 1,230$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…a49cbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,178$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 992.32$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.08 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 984.19$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.94 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 809.21$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.79 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 59c | 553.52$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 433.2$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Seattle Storm | 35c | 318.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 289.46$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 256.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.26 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 225$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…29a4backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 218.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 201.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 196.39$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 184.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Seattle Storm | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 117.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 104.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Indiana Fever | 42c | 102.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 101.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 87.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 63.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6128…b3e7backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 55.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 54.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…8c33backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 52.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…fbafbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Indiana Fever | 42c | 40.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 40.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fb…1c90backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 37.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 34.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…7855backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…7907backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 29.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…0ac8backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…9954backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 21.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.