WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37b83d189da76ff946195d01da5d9b81d64367c861e61c2947360efd6f5cb9fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,038$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.56 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Under | 51c | 1,962$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 1,862$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.15 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 55c | 1,042$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.04 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.67 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 315.47$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.87 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 49c | 275.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 275.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 49c | 256.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.05 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 49c | 228.9$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 50c | 199.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…97edbacked Over | 52c | 156.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 49c | 68.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…7d9ebacked Under | 49c | 28.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 44c | 26.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Over | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 49c | 23.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…a56ebacked Under | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.