WNBA · resolved market
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49bcac5b0a0a0aa2e51ce9bcab7905e1d1c8e6a63a145ddc3e09d72c5edc5940
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 54c | 9,949$5,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,553.06 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 46c | 8,489$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,904.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 45c | 2,680$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Under | 52c | 1,665$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 1,387$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.9 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 957.88$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.43 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 428.46$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.91 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 418.22$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 366$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.34 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 49c | 333.49$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 49c | 333.33$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 46c | 285.13$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.16 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 45c | 284.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 54c | 192$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 44c | 185.43$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Under | 56c | 152.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ab…cda4backed Under | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 46c | 117.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 46c | 110.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 53c | 104.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 48c | 102.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 41c | 87.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 59c | 65.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 48c | 39.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Over | 45c | 33.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under | 55c | 27.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 56c | 18.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5this page
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Under won
- Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.