TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x02ab…cda4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Music at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.19
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.29
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.75
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$27.52
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.72
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$33.81
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$33.81
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$55.24
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.11
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$82.86
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$55.64
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$492.07
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.73
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+54.9%+$46.06
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$54
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26.84
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$103.84
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.49
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.49
Roland Garros WTA: Katie Boulter vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$90.51
Anisimova vs. Bencic: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$23.63
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.31
BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$142.31
BNP Paribas Open: Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
BNP Paribas Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$33.08
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+48.4%+$24.2
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$51.6
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+34.4%+$29.5
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+86.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+127.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+172.8%+$343.92
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+82.9%+$296.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+107.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+170.1%+$218.95
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+45.6%+$113.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$55
Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase say "International" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$503.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-5.5)backed Norfolk State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.