Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aea763ee1a959f5efccd24725baa74cf5773a6d6a17ca537388408b902060dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,028$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes | 37c | 9,383$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.33 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed Yes | 1c | 8,360$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…2dd5backed Yes | 2c | 5,569$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +155%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…00dcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +318.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,311$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…ba8cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d47…e7a0backed Yes | 15c | 2,741$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 29c | 2,527$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.34 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 0c | 2,512$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…b2bdbacked Yes | 33c | 2,354$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 16c | 1,920$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.82 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 21c | 1,837$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.18 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 1,788$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8317…6af6backed No | 35c | 1,755$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ac…557cbacked Yes | 71c | 1,689$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,624$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 76c | 1,600$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.99 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c6f1backed Yes | 30c | 1,317$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,091$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 2c | 1,015$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…97edbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 1c | 933.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed No | 77c | 859.07$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.66 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…9c71backed No | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.02 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…28acbacked Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…65a5backed Yes | 33c | 680.86$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…abe7backed No | 49c | 679.86$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308a…95ffbacked Yes | 62c | 660.04$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…0507backed No | 74c | 567.68$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8580…d162backed Yes | 3c | 529.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…a265backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…8277backed Yes | 62c | 441.56$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…e462backed No | 35c | 420.38$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed No | 75c | 406.65$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…f7b7backed Yes | 25c | 400$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +231.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…a1c3backed No | 69c | 389.43$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491f…d8d4backed Yes | 8c | 365.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…7c9fbacked No | 69c | 352.94$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…5d8fbacked Yes | 14c | 344.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +770.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 30c | 309$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…e0e8backed Yes | 33c | 301.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 46c | 300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 78c | 258.72$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c6…2e08backed Yes | 21c | 243$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +352.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 12c | 237.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 203.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…780dbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a71…49bcbacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0670…2bf0backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…1379backed Yes | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…b62fbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ab…cda4backed Yes | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…cc52backed Yes | 59c | 160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…e2b1backed Yes | 25c | 151.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 11c | 149.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a4…8f65backed Yes | 14c | 146.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2c…3dc9backed Yes | 20c | 145.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…84b7backed No | 57c | 142.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82af…f919backed Yes | 73c | 137.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbe…b616backed No | 66c | 128.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…e105backed No | 80c | 124.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…9781backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9c…fbb7backed No | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed No | 56c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…872bbacked No | 79c | 116.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…019ebacked Yes | 36c | 112.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.29per pick | 12cpaid | +234%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…41d0backed Yes | 35c | 109.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…baa4backed Yes | 36c | 106.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…2da4backed Yes | 25c | 103.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +406.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…e7e6backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2c…32a2backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa083…ad37backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +278.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a89…c71bbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…f0f2backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…505abacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…4fa9backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…d077backed No | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d7…2511backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 29c | 73.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…de36backed Yes | 31c | 71.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…f616backed No | 70c | 68.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…4572backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84c…e1f7backed Yes | 26c | 53.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…31a4backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 26c | 48.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…7749backed Yes | 47c | 44.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf5…b3f1backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7085…5b58backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 39c | 37.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked Yes | 41c | 35.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d6…3ae3backed Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -61%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $26 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.