Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8370fb085f8dcf03e48c5f503f935c553dd7dff2ad1f0307c53ed73c81c7aa79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c21…9bd9backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…ba8cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 2,527$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf502…3b51backed No | 33c | 2,106$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,809$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.63 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Yes | 80c | 1,408$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…e5fcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,368$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 13cpaid | +576.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Yes | 7c | 1,365$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 13cpaid | +552.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…5699backed Yes | 65c | 1,324$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 2c | 1,129$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.54 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…40e5backed Yes | 14c | 1,048$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +270.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 2c | 979.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.97 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac87…88c7backed Yes | 9c | 948$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x376e…d654backed Yes | 14c | 841.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 69c | 712.87$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.37 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…dd8ebacked Yes | 3c | 688.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.04 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 645.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.86 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…74d4backed Yes | 9c | 641.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +993%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…a970backed Yes | 30c | 503.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…3ceebacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…b021backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…e4f1backed Yes | 2c | 498.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +1,224.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 73c | 449.98$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed Yes | 76c | 397.59$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 336.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.52 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…27d8backed Yes | 73c | 326.11$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed Yes | 26c | 291.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfc…ff18backed Yes | 27c | 268.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 75c | 261.86$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.73 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 61c | 209.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…8c4cbacked Yes | 10c | 202.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +406.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ab…6b93backed Yes | 50c | 200.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…3840backed Yes | 55c | 197.36$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…f6f5backed Yes | 67c | 195$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa142…375abacked No | 26c | 192.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…83e4backed Yes | 8c | 171.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…f691backed Yes | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50d…c263backed Yes | 64c | 157.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 152.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…2281backed Yes | 58c | 150.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…24d3backed Yes | 27c | 148.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…9461backed Yes | 67c | 148.41$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2b…a44cbacked Yes | 17c | 148.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +492.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 48c | 108.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…9858backed Yes | 9c | 108$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…f58fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bde…688fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Yes | 40c | 98.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…f345backed Yes | 27c | 92.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 29cpaid | +176%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 14c | 83.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…5490backed No | 22c | 81.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…c014backed Yes | 60c | 74.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…1c0bbacked Yes | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 23c | 52.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1b…85c1backed Yes | 30c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…3b8bbacked Yes | 58c | 34.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…d808backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…19f0backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…bf9abacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +299.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 68c | 19.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $26 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.