Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdbcd68d928eed9f9344501be8386b363f73f359b2ccc4c00f54f630caecc53d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked No | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a34…6c6cbacked No | 1c | 10,119$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46eb…ba8cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes | 35c | 8,382$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,436.5 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8648…ed5dbacked No | 0c | 8,081$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 13c | 7,344$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 9c | 2,500$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…3fbebacked Yes | 14c | 2,437$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +257.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,256$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.76 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…f9c6backed Yes | 10c | 2,181$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +241.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd2…e477backed No | 70c | 1,984$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf502…3b51backed No | 9c | 1,504$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c0…60c5backed Yes | 62c | 1,423$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 7c | 1,370$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.40per pick | 15cpaid | +556.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Yes | 9c | 1,308$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +205.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50a…2da4backed Yes | 10c | 1,217$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +406.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 3c | 1,133$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.09 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.75 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…874bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +9,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fee…eda2backed No | 68c | 1,050$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 47c | 1,040$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.09 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…40e5backed Yes | 9c | 1,037$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +270.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…f7b7backed Yes | 10c | 1,018$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +231.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2954…1204backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…396fbacked No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Yes | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed No | 10c | 976.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…243ebacked Yes | 50c | 940$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…84b7backed No | 61c | 921.44$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…05b6backed No | 56c | 899.99$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…e455backed Yes | 66c | 880.75$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…5699backed Yes | 64c | 856.62$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.34 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a4…8f65backed Yes | 19c | 848.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb971…e7aebacked No | 49c | 844.35$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 3c | 721.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.62 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6eed…ef32backed Yes | 14c | 717.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +115%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 712.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…e4f1backed Yes | 5c | 710$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +1,224.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bc…ae0ebacked Yes | 80c | 700$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa947…8a1abacked No | 58c | 699.99$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a22…ee5bbacked Yes | 49c | 652.3$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 78c | 620.31$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9515…10d7backed Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…49e7backed Yes | 10c | 599.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +297.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49e4…3d9bbacked Yes | 10c | 556.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +931%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed No | 6c | 513.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd669…f5e7backed Yes | 3c | 486.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.66 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 4cpaid | +300.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 475.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.07 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…e5fcbacked Yes | 10c | 466.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 13cpaid | +576.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3163backed Yes | 4c | 466.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +288.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…1ababacked Yes | 67c | 441.34$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 6c | 409.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.49 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…db20backed Yes | 5c | 381.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +1,148.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked Yes | 40c | 351.64$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48eb…4addbacked Yes | 57c | 336.69$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +6.1wins | +0.61per pick | 29cpaid | +431.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…0230backed Yes | 67c | 310.1$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 7c | 271.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…e0e8backed Yes | 8c | 257.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c6f1backed No | 60c | 247.13$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked No | 5c | 228$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb23…8f05backed No | 9c | 227.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…7e16backed Yes | 50c | 226.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 78c | 214.74$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.46 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…06a2backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…ced9backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcd…7865backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 199.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xe91f…e493backed No | 69c | 144.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 13cpaid | +552.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…78dfbacked Yes | 38c | 133.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed No | 47c | 131.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…83e4backed Yes | 39c | 127.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…011dbacked Yes | 80c | 125.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402b…aa3abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…bf9abacked Yes | 12c | 118.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +299.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…f345backed Yes | 22c | 115$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 29cpaid | +176%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…275bbacked Yes | 35c | 114.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 70c | 114.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…12a5backed Yes | 15c | 110$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…cc52backed Yes | 38c | 104.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 33c | 103.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1dc5backed Yes | 31c | 102.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…06f1backed Yes | 39c | 102.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…e7e6backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…f691backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…f0f2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…adc4backed No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 89.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…0507backed No | 68c | 88.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d0…ef39backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 48c | 82.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13e…ce20backed Yes | 37c | 81.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…8613backed No | 48c | 81.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…b030backed No | 42c | 74.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…1796backed Yes | 36c | 71.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…b8f8backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $26 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.