TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6993…c79a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
237
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
36

Best Category: Weather, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 52 out of 100; worst Stocks at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT290%0 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.57
Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.02
Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.91
Will Moonshot have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.92
Will Superman be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Diogo Jota be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.42
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.18
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.07
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.31
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$27.71
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.47
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.92
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.62
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.27
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$29.24
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$37.84
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$16.25
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12.13
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 28 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$22.77
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 24 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.74
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 27 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$37.22
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 29 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.53
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$38.97
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST270%0 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP dip to $0.90 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.33
Will Solana dip to $90 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.49
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.18
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Solana dip to $90 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.64
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15.59
Will Solana reach $250 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.13
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.98
Will Solana dip to $90 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.05
Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10.46
Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$11.61
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$13.09
Will Solana dip to $120 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.9
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$12.92
Will Ethereum reach $4,300 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.01
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 November 3-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.86
Will Ethereum reach $4,100 November 3-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.03
Will Solana reach $180 November 3-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.55
Will Solana reach $220 November 3-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.3
Will Ethereum reach $4,900 October 27-November 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.9
Will Solana dip to $150 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.08
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+733.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13.66
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 65°F or below on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.57
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on February 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+21,563.4%+$2,172.19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on February 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.18
Will NYC have more than 7 inches of precipitation in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.62
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.46
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 29°F or below on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C or below on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.67
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 26°F or higher on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -4°C on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -6°C or below on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will there be 5-7 inches of snow in D.C. in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.79
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 16-17°F on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.95
Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.29
Will the highest temperature in London be 66°F or higher on November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on November 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on November 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or higher on November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.46
Will Melissa make landfall at category 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.24
Will the highest temperature in London be 72°F or higher on September 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.4
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST190%0 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.05
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.25
Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.86
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.72
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.06
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18.08
Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12.25
Will the government shutdown end November 21 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$14.98
Will the government shutdown end November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.97
Will the government shutdown end November 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$23.21
Will the government shutdown end November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.62
Will the government shutdown end November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$28.21
Will the government shutdown end November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.43
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.41
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.82
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.96
Will Joe Biden be named in the Epstein survivors' list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.37
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.09
All 19 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST150%0 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix reach $368 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Will Meta reach $870 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.43
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 10 above $7.50?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.47
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 10 above $6.00?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35.38
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of November 10 above $8.00?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23.65
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $255?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18.86
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $260?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$31.82
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 10 above $470?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23.49
Will Meta (META) finish week of November 10 above $590?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20.04
Will Russell 2000 (RUT) close over 2,360 on Friday of the week of Nov 10 – Nov 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$61.09
Will NYSE Composite (NYA) close over 19,200 on Friday of the week of Nov 10 – Nov 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.1
Will NYSE Composite (NYA) close over 19,350 on Friday of the week of Nov 10 – Nov 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.17
Will Dow Jones (DJI) close over 44,000 on Friday of the week of Nov 10 – Nov 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.65
Will Dow Jones (DJI) close over 43,500 on Friday of the week of Nov 10 – Nov 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Dow Jones (DJI) close over 44,500 on Friday of the week of Nov 10 – Nov 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.05
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
Will Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$17.22
Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18.81
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$19.73
Will Evelyn Matthei win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.99
Will Franco Parisi come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$33.88
Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$34.42
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.95
Will the Forum for Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.18
Will the JA21 win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kinetiq FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.88
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.85
Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.28
Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17.04
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
Over $2B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.66
Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.49
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.23
Over $140M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Meteora FDV above $6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.82
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.97
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.01
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.86
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$17.44
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Will Anxiety (Doechii) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.47
Will Lola Young win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Will Justin Bieber be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.13
Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.21
Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.76
Will The Weeknd be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$19.98
All 8 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dylan Harper win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.57
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Oklahoma City Thunder?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.83
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Detroit Pistons?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.07
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Toronto Raptors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.96
Will the Chicago Bulls be Jaylen Brown's next team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kleber Mendonça Filho win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.17
Will Colin Farrell win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Daniel Day-Lewis win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.45
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.61
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.24
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 115m and 129m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27.77
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Memphis Tigers (W)backed Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.65
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Florida A&M Rattlers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$16.61
Princeton Tigers vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Princeton Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$36.87
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 39% or higher in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.16
5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2025 AL Cy Young?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.14
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jazz Hampton win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dzanan Musa win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida International vs. Penn Statebacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jordan Spieth make the 2025 USA Ryder Cup team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Reading FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave finish third in the 2025 FIDE World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.