TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,949 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes2c3,386$79 inLost-$78.962030%6 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes1c2,944$25 inLost-$24.93147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-71.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6993…c79abacked Yes0c2,175$10 inLost-$10.1580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x008a…1d9fbacked Yes2c1,646$32 inLost-$3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes2c1,329$23 inLost-$23.262821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes3c1,208$38 inLost-$37.5710529.5%31 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…4eb8backed Yes3c1,094$33 inLost-$32.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f60…f025backed Yes3c1,083$32 inLost-$32.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes3c1,048$27 inLost-$27.014946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes1c1,047$11 inLost-$10.87812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+302.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8270…9ca6backed Yes2c902.16$17 inLost-$17911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-79.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1778…a03dbacked Yes1c871.21$10 inLost-$10248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c808.17$17 inLost-$17.124629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b5…b240backed Yes4c703.96$25 inLost-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cf…bc6ebacked Yes4c685.35$25 inLost-$25.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9da2…0ca7backed Yes3c652$17 inLost-$16.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffa…4fb7backed Yes2c648.76$16 inLost-$1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa08a…de5bbacked Yes3c634$16 inLost-$16.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a97…508cbacked Yes5c597.65$30 inLost-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes3c573.6$20 inLost-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+418.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.