TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf88…9ee7backed Yes23c24,659$5,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,619.430%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe314…177bbacked Yes22c12,200$2,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,68410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No79c7,185$5,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.5416250.6%82 W · 80 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked No74c6,139$4,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…043ebacked Yes16c4,886$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.42147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick20cpaid-73.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2482…c164backed No78c3,650$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8031100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b6…d7d7backed No78c3,100$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6821100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Yes19c3,051$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.871020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fe…31e7backed No78c2,850$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6271100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaf…4c8abacked No78c2,600$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5721100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8081…95cabacked Yes8c2,287$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.351414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No75c2,207$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.041030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+103.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed No79c2,000$1,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.96450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0811…06f1backed Yes1c1,900$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a5f…b62cbacked Yes19c1,685$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.2260%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes19c1,536$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.353426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No79c1,455$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.312828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes18c1,445$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.988923.6%21 W · 68 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No79c1,266$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8916334.4%56 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes15c1,156$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.182821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes11c1,059$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.466746.3%31 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x546a…1abbbacked Yes20c1,056$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ff…986cbacked Yes19c1,033$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b4…8967backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-57.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0a…c2c4backed Yes20c993.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4582…7699backed Yes20c962$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1633…8bf6backed No79c957$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes18c882.06$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.825825.9%15 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked Yes21c819.93$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.185721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No80c800$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x270e…2930backed Yes13c791.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe309…44c2backed No80c783$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d05…de5abacked Yes15c753.2$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1683backed Yes20c713$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9781…bc2abacked Yes17c704.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick28cpaid+99.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Yes20c690.66$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9250%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ae…e13abacked No80c688$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x184f…a48fbacked No80c687$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac7…78c7backed Yes21c678$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95a9…09b5backed Yes22c670.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+318.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ae…90d3backed Yes21c661.1$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-68.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd420…01fcbacked Yes8c659.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b69…6622backed Yes20c634$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b4a…1568backed Yes18c624.17$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes14c607.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.771127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid-38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4886…8bd7backed Yes15c599.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes9c591.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.045836.2%21 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd9…f849backed Yes24c572.09$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes16c553.15$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.16933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No79c544.3$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03b…6149backed Yes8c509.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa731…b18bbacked Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked Yes19c499.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed No80c499.83$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1778…a03dbacked Yes8c497.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b82…1712backed No79c473$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ed…b788backed Yes21c458$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.281010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-86.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11e9…8e90backed No80c449$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes20c449$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed No71c448.1$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.087844.9%35 W · 43 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd934…7161backed Yes6c446.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes21c445$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed No80c434$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48a…fcd2backed No77c432$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f7…395ebacked No79c420$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes21c420$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acf…2f7bbacked Yes19c417$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes19c399.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7612234.4%42 W · 80 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No76c397.28$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.89844.9%44 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee3c…9f5abacked Yes19c394$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes14c393$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9910529.5%31 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes19c384$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9650%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No70c376$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.245563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3adcbacked Yes23c363$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86bc…aab8backed Yes14c357.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes22c354.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2110517.1%18 W · 87 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes17c353$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.88156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0916…8fdbbacked Yes21c352.84$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752010%2 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+108.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a16…0c03backed Yes24c350$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8460%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa113…93f4backed Yes14c347.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e35…384fbacked No76c345$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes22c342.21$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.893917.9%7 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91d…91fdbacked No80c334$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b32…c8a9backed No79c324$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e2…7babbacked No79c321$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes22c318.59$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.78300%0 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53a8…0ae4backed Yes18c317.79$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.78714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0af…7ec6backed Yes23c316$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c824backed Yes21c316$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes14c300.46$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No76c299.66$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.115554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5fa…f3f8backed No77c295$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df6…0f0fbacked Yes23c289$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed Yes16c281.93$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.025251.9%27 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x708a…68b9backed No78c278$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.16366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked Yes21c272$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb2…78b5backed Yes17c264.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-78%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x293b…09a9backed No79c257$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.97580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4984…69d2backed No79c250$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2614…d82ebacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.