TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x90e2…7bab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Movies, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 55 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.12
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.04
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.4
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.48
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$38.7
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.14
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.6
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.74
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.52
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$112.32
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.42
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$79.75
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$117.2
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.81
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.44
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$42.28
Will CJ McCollum be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+455.6%+$663.38
Will Trae Young be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$33.93
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$24
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$241.68
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.31
Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$763.84
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165.33
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$178.62
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$96.52
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.97
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$42.6
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$462.08
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.72
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,389.35
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$503.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$150.96
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$303.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$456.23
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$94.52
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$208.64
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$214.72
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,567Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$441.98
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.63
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.77
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.06
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.75
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$226.56
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.16
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.6
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.12
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$559.57
Google Gemini Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$142.74
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.1
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+427.3%+$437.6
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.55
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+284.6%+$253.08
Will Eva Victor - Sorry, Baby win Best First-Time Director of a Theatrical Feature Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+376.2%+$205.4
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$162.12
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$151.47
Will Cutting Through Rocks be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+354.5%+$148.2
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$97.66
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38.72
Will Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) win Best Actress – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$183.12
Will Tramell Tillman (Severance) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24.24
Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$99.18
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.65
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.44
Will there be at least 1550 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$274.56
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$121.21
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$347.55
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+63.9%+$219.96
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$135.15
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+638.4%+$706.35
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+106.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+284.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.44
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+354.5%+$59.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$190.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$42.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senor Tilt be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)backed Ipswich Town FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)backed Evansville Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$158.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$44.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BNB dip to $600 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.