TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0b87…9414backed No1c3,846$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5097049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked Yes80c1,396$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.21936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked No16c1,335$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.891838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfa…4578backed No17c1,256$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.521154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked Yes80c1,196$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.22733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7170…ed44backed No14c1,124$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.361513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-79.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb88…6b99backed No18c1,112$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.162931%9 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f0f…98e8backed No17c1,071$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.071533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed No18c1,049$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.352948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6576…f0abbacked No17c1,012$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.041145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e08…d84cbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8502638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed Yes80c950$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b5…4ca3backed No16c943$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.011861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd786…857abacked No17c937$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe335…cd12backed No24c921$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.922250%11 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e96…c895backed No20c865$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed No17c858$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.861631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5baa…0ec6backed No17c851$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca67…703cbacked No20c850$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed No19c794$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.124047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169a…55e4backed No20c784$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d7…0217backed Yes80c779$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.81560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa355…a3a2backed No14c766$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.241747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+124.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7176…6f9fbacked Yes80c755$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1512250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f2…55d9backed No15c744$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58fe…a8c5backed No16c697$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.52825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No7c642.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.058853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12e2…85b7backed Yes80c641$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cae…c0eebacked No20c639$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bbb…5c80backed No15c622$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.32429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x252c…391abacked No17c601$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.171040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb29…19c8backed No17c587$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14d5…1f63backed No17c586$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.62922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-65%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No5c578.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0715010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7086…f376backed No20c565$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-62.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed Yes80c545$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1093450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes80c544.31$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1722041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed No20c530$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c07…0cbcbacked No15c528$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.22347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c11…778fbacked No2c524.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09be…76d5backed No15c519$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.852556%14 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d38…e898backed No19c507$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.542245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked Yes80c503$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.62955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b64…bd0ebacked No35c498$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.523339.4%13 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322a…3274backed No20c497$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.42951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd19a…5b88backed No20c489$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.81758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No3c467.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86894.5%4 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…34e0backed No63c466$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.83728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes76c456.83$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.844746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6159…7501backed No14c445$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.32445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29b4…c17abacked No17c433$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.612030%6 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa151…13b4backed Yes80c411$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.21643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b2f…c453backed Yes76c409$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.922454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90e2…7babbacked No14c403$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.421942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes49c389$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.392254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed No19c383$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.772157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea90…0f8fbacked No17c383$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.111060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+60.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes12c378$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.642937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a8…1f07backed No19c377$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.633240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa457…1a93backed No19c370$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.31560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed45…929dbacked No19c369$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.112937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8507…7f61backed No17c369$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.731050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa756…b167backed No16c366$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.561020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-58.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2971…b901backed No68c364$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.741942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes80c361$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.22740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbec…8dccbacked No20c361$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.21850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+66.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7407…19bebacked No17c354$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed Yes42c354$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.322842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed No20c345$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.383138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes70c331$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.12556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed No20c322$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.42751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a88…513ebacked No15c315$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.251040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x941a…90c4backed Yes80c314$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.81618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-70.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8132…a491backed No20c303$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17be…7a33backed No20c301$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.22227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed No9c300$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19cd…f7ffbacked No14c296$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.443050%15 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d26…c9f4backed No58c296$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.631250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1832…af9ebacked Yes80c292$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.42254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd40d…b2fabacked No55c285$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.173246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf75c…838dbacked No17c284$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.28850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+75.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a94…7154backed No20c280$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No17c276$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.925913.6%8 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7cfe…2fd8backed No12c275$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.813429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95cc…f215backed No17c270$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.91030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No8c269.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.851,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2abd…74ebbacked No15c264$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.62528%7 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa15b…200fbacked No17c257$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.691546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9464…b4cbbacked Yes67c252$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.591233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2064…e748backed No51c237$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.87933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…a23bbacked Yes56c236$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.182060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Yes37c230.34$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4145647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes80c222$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.43737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8624…b484backed Yes12c213$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.443256.3%18 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+68.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5829…e46bbacked Yes80c210$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f51…09adbacked No14c206$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.841747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes74c202.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2118246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed No20c202$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.42828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.