NBA · resolved market
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58234757c9519ddfffdbc8f33bea3b172d5a55a7fedb07c6df4fed1e97ba1ca7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 1c | 3,846$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked Yes | 80c | 1,396$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 16c | 1,335$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…4578backed No | 17c | 1,256$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,196$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed No | 14c | 1,124$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed No | 18c | 1,112$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed No | 17c | 1,071$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 18c | 1,049$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked No | 17c | 1,012$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…d84cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed Yes | 80c | 950$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed No | 16c | 943$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…857abacked No | 17c | 937$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed No | 24c | 921$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed No | 20c | 865$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 17c | 858$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…0ec6backed No | 17c | 851$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 20c | 850$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 19c | 794$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed No | 20c | 784$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed Yes | 80c | 779$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed No | 14c | 766$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked Yes | 80c | 755$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed No | 15c | 744$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed No | 16c | 697$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 7c | 642.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed Yes | 80c | 641$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked No | 20c | 639$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 15c | 622$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…391abacked No | 17c | 601$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…19c8backed No | 17c | 587$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…1f63backed No | 17c | 586$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -65%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 5c | 578.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed No | 20c | 565$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed Yes | 80c | 545$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 80c | 544.31$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed No | 20c | 530$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked No | 15c | 528$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c11…778fbacked No | 2c | 524.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed No | 15c | 519$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 19c | 507$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 80c | 503$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 35c | 498$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.52 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed No | 20c | 497$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed No | 20c | 489$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 3c | 467.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed No | 63c | 466$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 76c | 456.83$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…7501backed No | 14c | 445$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked No | 17c | 433$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Yes | 80c | 411$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 76c | 409$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked No | 14c | 403$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes | 49c | 389$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed No | 19c | 383$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.77 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked No | 17c | 383$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 12c | 378$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.64 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 19c | 377$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 19c | 370$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 19c | 369$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed No | 17c | 369$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…b167backed No | 16c | 366$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed No | 68c | 364$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 80c | 361$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked No | 20c | 361$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 17c | 354$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 42c | 354$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.32 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed No | 20c | 345$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes | 70c | 331$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 20c | 322$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked No | 15c | 315$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…90c4backed Yes | 80c | 314$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 20c | 303$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 20c | 301$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 14c | 296$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…c9f4backed No | 58c | 296$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked Yes | 80c | 292$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 55c | 285$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.17 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…838dbacked No | 17c | 284$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed No | 20c | 280$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 17c | 276$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed No | 12c | 275$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed No | 17c | 270$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 269.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked No | 15c | 264$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked No | 17c | 257$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…b4cbbacked Yes | 67c | 252$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed No | 51c | 237$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…a23bbacked Yes | 56c | 236$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Yes | 37c | 230.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes | 80c | 222$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 12c | 213$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 80c | 210$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 14c | 206$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 74c | 202.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 20c | 202$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?this page
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.