TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2064…e748

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$105.69
Will "IRIS OUT" by Kenshi Yonezu (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$195.7
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$319.2
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$421.92
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$163.56
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$68.54
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$45.75
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.89
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$67.5
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$86.36
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.25
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$36.92
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$39.78
Will Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (Jay Kelly) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$26.6
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,319.23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.48
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$285.6
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+63.9%+$446.94
Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$96.35
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$32.34
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$67.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.76
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25.62
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.2
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.89
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.14
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.86
Will Liberal Alliance win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$67.2
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$22.89
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$21.63
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+127.3%+$110.32
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$76.7
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$43.86
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+47.3%+$34.34
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$70.56
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$60.5
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.87
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.78
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$49.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.04
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$803.1
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.29
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100.87
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$287
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.27
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.66
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.08
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+189.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+112.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$330.02
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Hilal Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+36.6%+$94.07
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$403.62
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+76.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+143.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$579.6
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$19.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+525%+$545.16
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$55.56
Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.76
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$587.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+428.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+428.7%+$167.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$773.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$129.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+85.5%+$43.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Blackburn Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.