Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c62f811e1d9e67e1f5cb3ceee3c1efe9969bdd3e1b9422365f64b036aa11156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Clubof Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club, Al Kholood Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,244 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bae…8200backed Al Kholood Saudi Club | 59c | 718$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 45c | 612.02$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 42c | 569$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…66bcbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club | 59c | 540$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0051backed Al Kholood Saudi Club | 60c | 475$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 41c | 373$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 41c | 358$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…3ea7backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 41c | 345$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…7f19backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 41c | 327$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club | 58c | 307$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed Al Kholood Saudi Club | 58c | 262$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 44c | 181$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 40c | 173$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 43c | 168.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 40c | 159$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…0f0fbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club | 59c | 145$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 40c | 143$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club | 49c | 138.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 47c | 127.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Kholood Saudi Club | 56c | 124.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Al Kholood Saudi Club | 56c | 124.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 41c | 110.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…fa2bbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Al Kholood Saudi Club | 55c | 98.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club | 49c | 97.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…5e13backed Al Kholood Saudi Club | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Al Kholood Saudi Club | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Al Kholood Saudi Club | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 51c | 86.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96e…1ea6backed Al Kholood Saudi Club | 56c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 44c | 32.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club | 54c | 30.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Al Kholood Saudi Club | 57c | 23.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Al Kholood Saudi Club | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.