Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdad777d339f7dbf0395521c34629ae00549bae6892ea7526239b3c252a444609
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,149 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed Over | 60c | 1,218$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed Under | 40c | 670$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…66bcbacked Under | 40c | 668$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked Over | 60c | 466$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Over | 60c | 454$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…2310backed Over | 62c | 437$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 64c | 434.45$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…fe71backed Under | 40c | 419$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Over | 60c | 418$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…8195backed Under | 40c | 416$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f51…c63cbacked Under | 40c | 383$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Under | 40c | 373$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Over | 60c | 373$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…3764backed Over | 59c | 329$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…dc0bbacked Under | 41c | 329$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…aeb8backed Under | 40c | 298$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9f9ebacked Over | 60c | 298$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked Over | 62c | 157$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed Under | 38c | 157$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked Under | 38c | 149$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Under | 38c | 149$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…1b7abacked Under | 38c | 139$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 136.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 36c | 130.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 97.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…5705backed Under | 38c | 49.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…3bafbacked Over | 64c | 26.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 67c | 22.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 61c | 17.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.