TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Clubof Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club, Al Kholood Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,701 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f68…2238backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club15c840$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick20cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b74…93f7backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club20c741$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…fc69backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club20c703$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5516…2263backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club14c625$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club80c505$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6278…3a93backed Al Kholood Saudi Club80c488$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed Al Kholood Saudi Club80c451$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0cb…ab6abacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club14c368$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+185%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Al Kholood Saudi Club76c217.09$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.41,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Kholood Saudi Club76c125$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9593446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club24c125$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Kholood Saudi Club76c106.42$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.881,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club24c98.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.235,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Kholood Saudi Club76c44.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.071,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Al Kholood Saudi Club75c38.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6589955.1%495 W · 404 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Al Kholood Saudi Club76c31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5611742.7%50 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33ac…a435backed Al Kholood Saudi Club76c18.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Al Kholood Saudi Club76c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.