TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb767…9b51

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Weather, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$124.88
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$261.44
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.6
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.82
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$259.21
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.7
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$544.26
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.16
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$209.42
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+525%+$249.48
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$234.93
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.99
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$138.18
Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.27
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$236.79
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+400%+$498.4
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+354.5%+$123.24
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.06
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$26.04
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$174
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$230.1
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.29
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+222.6%+$360.18
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$129.36
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$180.17
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.38
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$153
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.42
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.32
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$98.67
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$350.76
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$91.76
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$185.9
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$353.58
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.32
Will "Microsoft" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100.32
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$161.07
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+525%+$372.96
Will "MAGA" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$84.74
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$271.66
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.38
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$128.73
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21.75
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$382.97
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.52
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.92
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.35
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.08
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$65.19
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.7
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$85.8
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.38
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.86
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.6
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$175.56
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$67.23
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.28
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$136.83
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.77
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.2
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$504.71
Will fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$154
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$180.63
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$48.3
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$111.15
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$48.76
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$192.9
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$454.96
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$176
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$52
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.7%+$238.3
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+300%+$1,026
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid0%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$144.9
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.69
Will Tisza win at least 90 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.35
Will Jhon Ariel Rioja win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+890.1%+$1,346.7
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.9
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$329.8
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.75
Will 'Deadline' - BlackPink debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$281.96
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$170.23
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$44.4
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.37
All 14 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$115.32
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.22
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.6
Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.24
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.88
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Will Sarah Snook win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50.82
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$94.62
Will Owen Cooper win Best Breakthrough Performance (TV) at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$117.18
Will Geeta Gandbhir - The Perfect Neighbor win Best Director of a Documentary Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200.75
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.16
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+257.1%+$623.52
Will In Your Dreams be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$52.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+63.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick16cpaid+213.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+136.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Milwaukee Panthers (W)backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+609.2%+$565.22
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.4
San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Torerosbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.26
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Kholood Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.8
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Najmah Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$126.96
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+25%+$70.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.1%+$108.19
Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$136.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$30.16
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$86.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$376.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$149
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,497Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$641.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Marino win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$69.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.