Us Politics · resolved market
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 24, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e921a612092dbb641a135bf3c373dc6f6202aeacb4df0b8fcb6998b96bb2857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 13c | 9,367$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 7c | 2,968$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 6c | 2,889$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39d…b97fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,344$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 43c | 1,158$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 58c | 1,058$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed No | 78c | 1,009$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,007$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 14c | 979.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed Yes | 14c | 729.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…a8c5backed No | 57c | 717$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 18c | 642.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 42c | 632$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 14c | 513.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked No | 78c | 513.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 15c | 509.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…52b7backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 495.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…d049backed Yes | 11c | 449.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed Yes | 42c | 434$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7019…dcefbacked No | 75c | 403.62$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 25c | 376.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…be20backed Yes | 16c | 373.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +303.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…d430backed No | 76c | 353.25$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4ee8backed Yes | 39c | 350.67$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 31c | 284.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed No | 57c | 283$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…026ebacked No | 77c | 261.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2dc…e9ebbacked Yes | 9c | 245.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…d31cbacked No | 73c | 244.87$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 43c | 234.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 61c | 199$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 10c | 198.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked No | 58c | 196$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…2b86backed Yes | 27c | 183.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 179.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8b…713bbacked Yes | 14c | 178.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…e1debacked No | 77c | 166.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Yes | 24c | 166.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…0952backed No | 78c | 162.15$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 158.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…857abacked No | 57c | 158$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes | 42c | 151$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 77c | 139.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 24c | 134.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 13c | 132.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…bee7backed Yes | 24c | 128.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb296…ea70backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b68dbacked No | 78c | 114.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 33c | 103.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 71c | 102.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9211…ae7abacked No | 79c | 100.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…9ca1backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…8880backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +248.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…3a0bbacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…5e40backed Yes | 29c | 98.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 24c | 90.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc052…f8d1backed No | 74c | 82.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 40c | 82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…0814backed No | 78c | 62.82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…f53dbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 34c | 58.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce0…e809backed Yes | 20c | 56.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 36c | 56.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked No | 53c | 53.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed No | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…5a73backed No | 79c | 50.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2f…a8aabacked Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…832ebacked Yes | 42c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 25c | 40.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x704f…ef5dbacked Yes | 30c | 40.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Yes | 37c | 40.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…e639backed No | 54c | 37.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…7eb6backed No | 55c | 35.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6e…4767backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123c…6c30backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 38c | 29.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 57c | 24.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…68c6backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 19.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 24, 2025?this page
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 22, 2025?Yes won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 23, 2025?Yes won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 25, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 27, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 28, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 31, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 1, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 2, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 3, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 4, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 5, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 7, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.