Us Politics · resolved market
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cd77e4ee3c49a768fbad2254619d850b5cb4139b1205c172cc2cbee4664ad5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4d7…d21dbacked Yes | 24c | 12,209$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 4c | 5,660$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.83 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…88fabacked Yes | 10c | 5,630$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.31 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04e8…a0bfbacked Yes | 18c | 3,452$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…8557backed No | 76c | 3,392$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…b60abacked No | 76c | 3,327$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…4c82backed No | 76c | 2,807$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…09acbacked No | 76c | 2,683$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,218$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,077$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 75c | 2,019$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.05 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,878$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 3c | 1,800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…2903backed Yes | 5c | 1,691$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,305$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,214$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d11…3d1abacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 2c | 999.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…a48fbacked Yes | 30c | 874$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 70c | 821$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…be20backed Yes | 11c | 803.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +303.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 800$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 732.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 15c | 654.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…55a0backed No | 78c | 622.92$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 3c | 599.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 11c | 526.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 8c | 516.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 3c | 482.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked Yes | 30c | 468$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…ac99backed Yes | 9c | 440$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…a6aabacked No | 70c | 426$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 5c | 415.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…de26backed No | 77c | 332.55$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2457…b193backed Yes | 5c | 272.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed No | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed No | 70c | 269$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 234.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 71c | 225.74$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…2b86backed Yes | 23c | 219.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 73c | 219$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 22c | 205.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed No | 76c | 202.28$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 23c | 201.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed Yes | 30c | 175$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326e…c7b9backed Yes | 30c | 171$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Yes | 18c | 162.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…7975backed Yes | 12c | 161.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 21c | 153.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…8fc2backed No | 78c | 149.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…2923backed Yes | 30c | 141$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a45…c42dbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 12c | 121.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…8185backed Yes | 22c | 119.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…85a3backed Yes | 10c | 119.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…dab5backed Yes | 9c | 112$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…8880backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +248.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed No | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes | 30c | 95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked No | 57c | 84.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed No | 76c | 83.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 22c | 73.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 336 | 18.5%62 W · 274 L | -46.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…43febacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…d868backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede9…3656backed No | 76c | 43.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…f239backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8115…dff0backed No | 79c | 37.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…da1fbacked No | 76c | 36.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5328…f631backed No | 76c | 35.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6585…438abacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…6764backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea2…61e2backed No | 78c | 26.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…6d97backed No | 76c | 23.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1221…16d9backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked No | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed No | 76c | 16.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?this page
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 22, 2025?Yes won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 23, 2025?Yes won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 24, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 25, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 27, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 28, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 31, 2025?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 1, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 2, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 3, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 4, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 5, 2026?No won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 7, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.