TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda7f…c93d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Movies, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.4
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+166.6%+$633.62
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$33.58
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$33.3
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.02
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.02
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$35.67
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$19.8
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$17.8
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.13
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$33
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$29.25
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124.62
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$10.56
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$110.25
Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.43
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$24.08
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$140.91
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$90.2
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$298.7
Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40.14
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+112.8%+$370.47
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21.19
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+377.9%+$97.26
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$38.01
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+158.1%+$59.42
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.88
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.19
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$44.8
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.91
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.92
Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.8
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$31.85
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.67
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.95
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.32
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.52
Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.26
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56%+$86.88
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50.1
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+93.5%+$412.06
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27.55
Will Ja Morant be traded in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.86
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$234.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$67.67
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$320.85
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$41.08
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$142.83
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$161.28
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$20.64
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+56.3%+$15.48
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+65.7%+$187.87
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50.96
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+32%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.7
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$35.77
Will PLN win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$76.85
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$108.46
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$63.64
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16.1
Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$55
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+143.9%+$40.12
Will Catalin Drula finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+25%+$22
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.28
Will January 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$76.6
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+27.8%+$191.25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$48.6
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50.32
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$31.75
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$64.5
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$45.77
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$11.19
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+525%+$66.36
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$614.72
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.05
Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by Jan 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$30.75
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$123.74
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$71.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$152.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senor Tilt be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$382.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.