Middle East · resolved market

Will the US strike Syria next?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd90f80b9fc3ecee6f7f3b0c91bd33fc491c6661541774af0f7086301bd945a18

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $265,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $185,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,508 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd5d2…2892backed Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes	3c	14,860$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.71	511	38.7%198 W · 313 L	+18.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c8…8cefbacked Yes	1c	13,835$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.78	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1247…c139backed Yes	2c	8,716$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.43	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	4c	8,545$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.18	243	8.2%20 W · 223 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	6,061$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.65	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x279e…8f57backed Yes	16c	4,057$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.49	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	27cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes	5c	3,823$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.1	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed Yes	6c	3,779$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.24	276	43.5%120 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf958…2093backed Yes	9c	3,180$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.84	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	21c	3,019$634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.73	896	17.1%153 W · 743 L	-57.2wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed Yes	4c	3,000$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	9c	2,872$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.66	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-81.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60a9…5a71backed Yes	26c	2,629$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.75	382	37.7%144 W · 238 L	+16.4wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b36…473bbacked Yes	2c	2,311$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.41	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Yes	11c	2,246$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4478…02a4backed Yes	26c	2,194$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.13	287	34.5%99 W · 188 L	+21.3wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x698a…fe0dbacked Yes	1c	2,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	5c	2,000$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.44	141	29.8%42 W · 99 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x913b…9d52backed Yes	3c	1,892$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.04	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c89…3681backed Yes	3c	1,725$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	1,644$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.91	713	5.6%40 W · 673 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc698…642ebacked Yes	1c	1,546$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff29…ea96backed Yes	5c	1,503$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.6	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Yes	8c	1,479$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.52	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	77c	1,313$1,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.9	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x696e…377cbacked Yes	15c	1,304$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	13c	1,278$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.05	238	4.6%11 W · 227 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3939…68cfbacked Yes	9c	1,242$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	38	7.9%3 W · 35 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes	12c	1,235$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.67	563	36.6%206 W · 357 L	+44.4wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x01da…116fbacked Yes	12c	1,190$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.55	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.34per pick	50cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9300…e1d3backed Yes	35c	1,113$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.07	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	4c	1,045$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.49	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	11cpaid	-94.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a4…7c68backed Yes	1c	1,015$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-51%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes	27c	1,012$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b23…5e5ebacked Yes	15c	1,006$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.91	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd42…8895backed Yes	11c	972.4$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.94	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	+15.0wins	+0.20per pick	19cpaid	+102%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6bc4…4a8ebacked Yes	16c	972$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.52	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Yes	6c	924.73$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.01	118	16.1%19 W · 99 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+56.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bab…0fe5backed No	76c	918.7$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.94	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-5.6wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	10c	909.67$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.73	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes	11c	903.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	9cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x722f…f17fbacked No	74c	896$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.96	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.9wins	+0.27per pick	46cpaid	+95.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	11c	873.13$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.33	413	6.8%28 W · 385 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff77…4b76backed Yes	9c	839.49$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.44	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+3.8wins	+0.19per pick	46cpaid	+24%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xece0…7cdfbacked Yes	25c	828.72$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.44	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked No	73c	808$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.16	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e9e…bd49backed Yes	26c	805$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.3	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes	36c	736.63$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.87	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed Yes	14c	718.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	120	37.5%45 W · 75 L	+9.1wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes	21c	717.1$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.64	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	9c	699.99$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.7	247	6.9%17 W · 230 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…f562backed Yes	12c	695$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.4	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9774…6d3cbacked No	73c	689$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.03	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97eb…9fbebacked Yes	30c	665.01$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.22	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac7…dc0bbacked No	76c	656$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.44	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc771…e858backed Yes	27c	647$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.69	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67a9…c417backed Yes	8c	629.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.16	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Yes	11c	622.98$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.34	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83fc…2bedbacked Yes	29c	620$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.14	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5045…4b5bbacked Yes	16c	615.35$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	7c	600$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	143	0.7%1 W · 142 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-92.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf70d…8df7backed Yes	25c	599.49$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	11c	594.69$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.09	197	6.6%13 W · 184 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed Yes	9c	580.74$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.45	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes	20c	552$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.12	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	8c	544.7$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.25	419	5.3%22 W · 397 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda7f…c93dbacked Yes	27c	529$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.83	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c8…f51abacked Yes	7c	520.05$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.15	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…3cb4backed Yes	14c	518.42$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.01	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5e…7952backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+3.9wins	+0.21per pick	21cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes	41c	499.99$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.5	287	50.2%144 W · 143 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb862…5aaebacked Yes	27c	495.99$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.92	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb8…7aa5backed Yes	40c	490.8$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.97	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaffd…b072backed Yes	27c	478$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.06	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked Yes	26c	476$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.76	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.16per pick	31cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e3e…0959backed No	73c	476$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.52	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f6a…53e0backed Yes	31c	468$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.08	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	42cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes	27c	467$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.09	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-5.1wins	-0.34per pick	47cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca36…bb1dbacked No	73c	442$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.34	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x322a…3274backed Yes	24c	442$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.08	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	29c	441.4$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.08	423	29.1%123 W · 300 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-12%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc57f…e9d1backed Yes	11c	434$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.29	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4159…6c30backed Yes	14c	419.88$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.3	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc75…a085backed Yes	12c	419.85$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.63	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f60…f897backed Yes	14c	417.98$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f08…68e9backed Yes	13c	411.41$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.24	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812e…04d0backed Yes	15c	408.68$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3bc…43e9backed No	73c	408$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.16	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d91…89d8backed No	69c	408$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.48	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+54.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes	49c	407.77$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.01	88	18.2%16 W · 72 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd1…75b8backed Yes	10c	407.04$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…f8a1backed No	74c	402$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.52	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb250…89c8backed No	59c	400$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	5c	399.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.12	199	5%10 W · 189 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Yes	26c	391.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-45%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x178f…45b8backed Yes	10c	390.43$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.22	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9416…5a15backed Yes	51c	388.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes	11c	372.05$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.34	131	6.1%8 W · 123 L	-10.4wins	-0.08per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the US strike Syria next?this page
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?No won
Will the US strike Colombia next?No won
Will the US strike Cuba nexNo won
Will the US strike Iran next?No won
Will the US strike Iraq next?No won
Will the US strike Mexico next?No won
Will the US strike Nigeria next?No won
Will the US strike Somalia next?Yes won
Will the US strike Venezuela next?No won
Will the US strike Yemen next?No won
Will the US strike another country first?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the US strike Syria next?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event