TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x913b…9d52

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+80.7%+$16.14
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+71.9%+$30.92
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+83.3%+$33.47
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$56.36
Will the US strike Yemen next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$43.09
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$76.79
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.4%+$29.63
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60.04
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$52.7
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+49.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest RED vs Sakura Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Sakura Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+227.2%+$30.68
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest RED vs MONEY CREW (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked FlyQuest RED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+1,219.1%+$258.07
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21.75
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$52.2
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.63
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$42.63
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs FengDa Gaming (BO3)backed FengDa Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior (BO3)backed NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+25.3%+$8.08
Counter-Strike: Four Magic vs RED Canids Academy (BO3)backed RED Canids Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+35.3%+$14.13
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG (BO3)backed 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26.9
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+112.8%+$17.49
Flyers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27.8
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$39.94
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+156.4%+$33.52
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Capitals vs. Jetsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+70.7%+$29
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+72.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+245.4%+$112.22
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: eSuba vs Priority (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffsbacked Priority · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+39.7%+$8.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+37%+$11.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+25%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Mirandés win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.