CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Four Magic vs RED Canids Academy (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2804faf2333754e6075aae6f40720e7f6386d54cf6057c80e17137903c8d0640
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canids Academyof Four Magic, RED Canids Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Four Magic | 45c | 2,052$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.91 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed RED Canids Academy | 52c | 1,612$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…f1c0backed RED Canids Academy | 44c | 1,450$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…c66cbacked Four Magic | 48c | 1,049$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked RED Canids Academy | 57c | 900.62$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.33 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…9442backed Four Magic | 12c | 848.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…ec86backed Four Magic | 57c | 750.38$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…5166backed Four Magic | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Four Magic | 58c | 570$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.7 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Four Magic | 55c | 545.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.06 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed RED Canids Academy | 64c | 526.91$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Four Magic | 10c | 496.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…b521backed RED Canids Academy | 66c | 455.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Four Magic | 15c | 422.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed RED Canids Academy | 56c | 344.52$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Four Magic | 56c | 344.32$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.62 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked RED Canids Academy | 45c | 293.39$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…bf10backed RED Canids Academy | 42c | 165$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed RED Canids Academy | 64c | 160.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Four Magic | 57c | 154.26$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked RED Canids Academy | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Four Magic | 59c | 141.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed RED Canids Academy | 68c | 128.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Four Magic | 48c | 122.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Four Magic | 52c | 114.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2243…ec34backed RED Canids Academy | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…5f61backed Four Magic | 59c | 106$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed RED Canids Academy | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Four Magic | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked RED Canids Academy | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Four Magic | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked RED Canids Academy | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed RED Canids Academy | 40c | 81.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Four Magic | 55c | 63.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Four Magic | 21c | 63.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Four Magic | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…dd52backed RED Canids Academy | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…9d52backed RED Canids Academy | 74c | 54.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Four Magic | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…f2d7backed RED Canids Academy | 42c | 50.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6644…e9fabacked Four Magic | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked RED Canids Academy | 49c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RED Canids Academy | 40c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Four Magic | 45c | 31.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed RED Canids Academy | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids Academy | 74c | 29.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked RED Canids Academy | 72c | 22.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.