CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac488ae63446878e99d66c355370c18ccd76e55780d8e04879f7b8f2b3143a3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 5,716$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Gentle Mates | 77c | 3,156$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.52 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed M80 | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.97 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gentle Mates | 62c | 2,878$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.96 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked M80 | 43c | 2,821$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.22 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked M80 | 53c | 2,500$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked M80 | 42c | 1,878$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.77 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 1,790$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.31 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed M80 | 31c | 1,526$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.67 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked M80 | 32c | 1,400$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.7 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked Gentle Mates | 49c | 1,212$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.24 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed M80 | 47c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 839.13$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.78 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed M80 | 56c | 626.27$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked M80 | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 443.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.67 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed M80 | 37c | 384.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 368.51$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…a423backed Gentle Mates | 64c | 313.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked M80 | 23c | 300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 297$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed M80 | 53c | 278.15$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 179 | 49.7%89 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 269.84$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.84 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42af…15f7backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 249.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed M80 | 47c | 189.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed M80 | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 162.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16a5…c4f1backed M80 | 47c | 162.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed M80 | 17c | 154.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 151$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…9e9bbacked M80 | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 129$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed M80 | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed M80 | 12c | 114.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Gentle Mates | 79c | 111.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed M80 | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed M80 | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed M80 | 53c | 81.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked M80 | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 79.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Gentle Mates | 65c | 59.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…a35bbacked M80 | 23c | 55.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed M80 | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc0…a71bbacked M80 | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Gentle Mates | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…be40backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 45.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb24d…c330backed M80 | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 39.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 36.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…9d52backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 (BO3)Gentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.