TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xabc8…fd71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST6558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+36%+$47.47
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+59.7%+$11.22
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Favbet (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+60.4%+$39.8
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.59
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44.6
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$89.59
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+43.2%+$20.22
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+174.3%+$82.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+75.4%+$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+177.8%+$19.2
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ARCRED (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+102%+$20.2
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+334.8%+$38.5
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs 9INE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+44.9%+$27.9
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+30.2%+$42.4
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+42.3%+$20.8
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+286.4%+$39.79
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21.3
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+77%+$17.4
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25.1%+$43.96
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+98.2%+$40.34
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$21.7
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$68.16
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+47.5%+$24.23
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25%+$5
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+39.1%+$91.63
LoL: SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28.13
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+41.9%+$9.95
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+233.3%+$49
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+552.8%+$186.3
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37%+$16.2
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.99
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+57.1%+$16.35
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$16.2
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$122.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+41.2%+$14.6
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+129%+$16.9
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$237.74
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+59.7%+$9.35
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.14
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.27
Australian Open Men's: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderibacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.22
Australian Open Women's: Ashlyn Krueger vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+29.4%+$5.23
Set 1 Winner: Faria vs Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Australian Open Men's: James Duckworth vs Dino Prizmicbacked Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.88
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergsbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+74%+$11.06
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+207.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+106.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+71.2%+$10.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+25.6%+$6.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.