TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof PARIVISION, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ad…be8cbacked PARIVISION32c9,105$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,905.024858.3%28 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Spirit65c8,814$5,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,112.8323355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed PARIVISION0c8,768$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.765028%14 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed PARIVISION35c6,810$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.2928453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Spirit78c5,291$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.3415050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Spirit70c4,946$3,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.176953.6%37 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spirit72c4,887$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.63,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ac…88c9backed PARIVISION23c3,747$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.7840%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed PARIVISION17c3,474$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.15812.1%7 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed PARIVISION29c3,331$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.6312150.4%61 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed PARIVISION11c2,734$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Spirit77c2,537$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.7911351.3%58 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Spirit77c2,370$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.021,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed PARIVISION8c1,988$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.973240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Spirit71c1,805$1,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7738868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed PARIVISION18c1,757$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31912941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed PARIVISION19c1,747$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9822554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed PARIVISION31c1,600$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50034156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit71c1,575$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.762,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b0…f139backed Spirit69c1,500$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.996651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PARIVISION20c1,128$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.71,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit68c1,081$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.031,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION29c1,045$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30632653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Spirit75c802.48$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3821055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ca…2fbabacked PARIVISION12c800.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c4…b348backed PARIVISION36c779.46$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed PARIVISION36c777.51$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION34c768.44$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.921,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed PARIVISION6c742.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.158416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed PARIVISION36c737.99$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6719455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked PARIVISION33c726.6$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.785234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc940…02d2backed Spirit67c725.1$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION19c699.73$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.82,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit80c665$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1334,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Spirit65c512$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6426553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Spirit67c507.23$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.941260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Spirit74c487.84$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.846144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Spirit63c473.85$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3346149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed PARIVISION34c460.34$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.797146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5c…091abacked Spirit76c454.67$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.381668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked PARIVISION37c424.32$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15753859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed PARIVISION14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5658651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked PARIVISION27c388.3$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3122550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Spirit78c366.58$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.458446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42ab…3a19backed Spirit66c333$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.225345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Spirit63c299.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11139851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed PARIVISION18c273.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3321941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Spirit76c261$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.023778.4%29 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed PARIVISION28c225$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7514533.1%48 W · 97 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42af…15f7backed Spirit79c222.32$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.793951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa217…296ebacked Spirit68c220.26$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spirit77c210.5$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4469863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION33c201$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.731,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b17…2aa5backed PARIVISION31c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6115453.2%82 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa905…fcf1backed Spirit76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8210…7348backed Spirit78c177.14$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.97966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit68c170.82$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6664552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb876…ae6ebacked PARIVISION23c170.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Spirit65c154.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.452834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed PARIVISION12c149.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1824440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed PARIVISION16c147.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed Spirit70c143.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2911470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Spirit71c141.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.833855.3%21 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90cf…fc9fbacked Spirit73c135.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Spirit69c131.26$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6937445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ddd…5366backed Spirit66c125$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.253455.9%19 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed PARIVISION24c122.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.476328.6%18 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed PARIVISION23c114.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.276637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3234…3862backed PARIVISION18c110$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Spirit73c109.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5961754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Spirit77c109.21$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1216448.8%80 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked PARIVISION38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Spirit79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2122142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked PARIVISION12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9311747%55 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadad…58bdbacked Spirit75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed PARIVISION35c91.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.081546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Spirit67c90$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.718657%106 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed PARIVISION21c89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.612752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebec…f38dbacked Spirit69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.961154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked PARIVISION26c85.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0969624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbaf…408cbacked Spirit77c78.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed PARIVISION27c75.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1619843.9%87 W · 111 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Spirit79c71.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.313537.8%51 W · 84 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked PARIVISION25c69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.342,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b81…68bebacked Spirit72c68.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.04955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed PARIVISION26c67.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.681,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Spirit66c65.44$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2517949.7%89 W · 90 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbbe…9fb7backed PARIVISION25c63.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614953.7%80 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Spirit62c60.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8558254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed PARIVISION30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1542845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed PARIVISION36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.643442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa59…aacabacked PARIVISION26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.69750.5%49 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed PARIVISION31c56.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.662055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed PARIVISION28c56.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7197230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed PARIVISION27c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.858941.6%37 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f15…650dbacked PARIVISION37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205664.3%36 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked PARIVISION37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0719…c6b9backed PARIVISION23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.54344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd09f…6dcfbacked Spirit74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa4…71c5backed PARIVISION37c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.