TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ad…be8cbacked PARIVISION27c18,721$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,719.164858.3%28 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit49c15,533$7,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,614.894,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Spirit74c13,348$9,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,832.4932548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION50c11,725$5,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,918.473,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked PARIVISION40c10,582$4,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,330.3859839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spirit45c10,358$4,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,634.313,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed PARIVISION30c9,597$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,761.0828453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked PARIVISION44c9,534$4,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,354.096953.6%37 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Spirit72c7,120$5,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,09534156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Spirit73c6,853$5,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,030.545848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Spirit51c6,581$3,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,380.681,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION38c6,230$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.481,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Spirit52c5,515$2,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.583240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed Spirit3c5,342$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.812030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Spirit74c5,199$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,830.0919455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION45c5,102$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.9981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Spirit57c4,957$2,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,848.221,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed PARIVISION26c3,438$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.4712941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd928…7adebacked Spirit73c3,398$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked PARIVISION50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.9915050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed PARIVISION27c2,939$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.9221055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Spirit1c2,189$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.492245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Spirit54c2,154$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.5412150.4%61 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spirit39c2,093$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.632,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Spirit66c2,000$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31658651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked PARIVISION46c1,613$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.1311452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x40b0…f139backed Spirit59c1,600$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9396651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked PARIVISION32c1,503$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.5522927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed PARIVISION26c1,407$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.9211940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9936…1d7dbacked PARIVISION26c1,370$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.082420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked PARIVISION27c1,126$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.395234.6%18 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed Spirit65c1,076$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70011470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec8…09dfbacked Spirit75c1,067$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+85.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed PARIVISION26c1,047$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.225812.1%7 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked PARIVISION26c1,004$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.6640950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23e…1461backed Spirit55c1,000$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5451838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7f…f02fbacked Spirit66c983.86$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.85580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+109.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc940…02d2backed Spirit73c983.36$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed Spirit55c913.96$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Spirit50c902.22$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45052834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed PARIVISION24c887.98$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.4215743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5901…63a2backed PARIVISION45c869.28$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.887041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Spirit61c811.99$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.3421042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked PARIVISION52c800$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38632352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…2e16backed Spirit56c799.99$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4454247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed PARIVISION47c793.32$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.086637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed PARIVISION26c750$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55550833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit51c741.9$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.362,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ca…2fbabacked Spirit74c727.65$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.161752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Spirit23c700$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16036245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb5c…091abacked Spirit72c666.36$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.761668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Spirit75c662.85$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50045162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Spirit58c644.16$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.533844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Spirit75c636.87$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.7641260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Spirit50c599.47$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6913537.8%51 W · 84 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION70c574.78$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.9138868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION24c500.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4397040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed PARIVISION51c499.98$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9924649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION41c491.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.1632653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Spirit74c472.97$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35015255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd6…686fbacked Spirit15c432.24$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.471855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked PARIVISION44c414.44$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.5865662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Spirit73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Spirit76c401.36$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.038551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Spirit71c400$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28422550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadad…58bdbacked Spirit55c386.57$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2131060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed PARIVISION26c385.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.139832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42af…15f7backed Spirit61c366.27$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.093951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed PARIVISION69c341.37$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8222554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed PARIVISION42c323.85$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6744743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Spirit73c323$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.7926553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Spirit64c319.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.072055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Spirit56c309.41$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.57255.6%40 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Spirit65c307.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9211351.3%58 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed PARIVISION28c303.33$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1414533.1%48 W · 97 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Spirit32c299.93$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9622556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ab…3a19backed Spirit74c299.34$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.515345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb17…dc94backed Spirit60c295.6$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3711…1cccbacked Spirit7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION51c284.61$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.769863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7f7…7584backed PARIVISION38c280.53$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60a…1613backed Spirit60c277.59$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.552853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa905…fcf1backed Spirit61c271.98$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.871631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa217…296ebacked Spirit59c258.36$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Spirit50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254829.2%14 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3654…ec4dbacked Spirit67c244.79$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d6…532cbacked Spirit75c234.2$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.273663.9%23 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Spirit59c229.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.192445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-32.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb876…ae6ebacked Spirit67c226.26$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.927647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbecd…9df4backed Spirit45c220.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbbe…9fb7backed Spirit60c218.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8214953.7%80 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfd…2818backed Spirit59c217$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.03366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Spirit71c213.67$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.846144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked Spirit75c203.58$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.484546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a0…94b3backed Spirit50c202$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked Spirit50c200.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Spirit51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10225555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed Spirit28c199.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5548826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Spirit11c193.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…b9c0backed Spirit51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.88338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.