CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25762442b909620ccdcb6db4aa0e6815359edd0bc890e5f5ce1e827f74b597a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Spirit, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 15,349$8,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,213.93 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Spirit | 49c | 12,685$6,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,211.1 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Spirit | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION | 51c | 5,242$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.08 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed PARIVISION | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed PARIVISION | 50c | 4,614$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.2 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Spirit | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 2,278$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.65 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…7961backed Spirit | 47c | 2,220$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed PARIVISION | 53c | 2,220$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Spirit | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.28 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Spirit | 46c | 1,872$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.31 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed PARIVISION | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed PARIVISION | 50c | 958.82$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.41 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa919…b83fbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 657.27$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Spirit | 48c | 629.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 616.37$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.71 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Spirit | 47c | 613.3$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed PARIVISION | 53c | 505.99$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.82 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…0276backed PARIVISION | 54c | 324.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Spirit | 47c | 260$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed PARIVISION | 54c | 251.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Spirit | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…0915backed PARIVISION | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Spirit | 46c | 224.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 217$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Spirit | 47c | 210.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked Spirit | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 138.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit | 47c | 135.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Spirit | 49c | 129.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed PARIVISION | 53c | 112.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked PARIVISION | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Spirit | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 152 | 41.4%63 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…9ccdbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed PARIVISION | 51c | 90.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Spirit | 47c | 74.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed PARIVISION | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9994…2e4fbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Spirit | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d5…5872backed PARIVISION | 53c | 56.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…a5f8backed PARIVISION | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640a…7799backed Spirit | 48c | 54.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed PARIVISION | 54c | 50.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…cecfbacked Spirit | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…d157backed PARIVISION | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Spirit | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…1ad6backed Spirit | 47c | 49.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…c9a6backed PARIVISION | 54c | 46.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…322cbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed PARIVISION | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…f83abacked Spirit | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…d6f0backed Spirit | 47c | 37.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…1326backed PARIVISION | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked PARIVISION | 54c | 36.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked PARIVISION | 53c | 36.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed PARIVISION | 50c | 36.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…aca0backed PARIVISION | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc3…6112backed PARIVISION | 67c | 30.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed PARIVISION | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Spirit | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked PARIVISION | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked PARIVISION | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed PARIVISION | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Spirit | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Spirit | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed PARIVISION | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.