TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x06da…0a4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT5550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.68
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Liquid (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$59.32
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.9%+$15.18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs GamerLegion (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring Playoffsbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - RES Showdown Spring BLAST Premier Rising Event Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT4440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Schalke 04 vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$30
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Schalke 04 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
VfL Bochum vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$20
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+100%+$20
SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2737%10 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17
AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+71%+$14.21
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
PSV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.08
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+150%+$22.5
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+123.8%+$18.56
Will Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Juventus FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed FC København · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+73%+$14.6
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
SC Freiburg vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+154.5%+$18.54
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Malmö FF vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.