TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c10,747$5,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,016.141,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,499.9713151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a43…565fbacked Under45c6,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Under45c3,771$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over55c2,948$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.5912249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under43c2,764$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.3959741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b6…bca1backed Under45c2,540$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over61c824.04$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.048556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36014447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c650.68$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.271,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under76c625$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47560136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over24c625$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4756852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over60c500.98$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.982552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over56c499.98$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.999445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over60c461.81$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.047435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over55c450$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.521354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18015657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18044955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over55c360$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16217855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over55c331.61$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2338356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c330$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2316633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13511152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012748%61 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over44c280$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1582254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over58c275.86$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8620655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c221.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3139743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Under70c220$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.993164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+80%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Over57c219.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.595653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under44c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8737544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9018754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over58c199.97$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9911649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Over61c197.76$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over55c190$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.513252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under45c174.47$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5113149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.511548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.513352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.514352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.510949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.511449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.513548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over55c170$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.516251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.79653.1%51 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over55c169.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.513751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.496163.9%39 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over55c160$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7215651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.518350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.514247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over55c137.32$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7939746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over55c120$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5411850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…807dbacked Over42c119.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.171533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-39.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Under41c113$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.333161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+32.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.956753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Over55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.095655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Under79c105$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.693151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4511947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c94.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4965050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.724465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under39c83.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4123947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over55c79.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3611652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c76.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7933851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over48c74.13$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4342438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9538043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.513853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under52c69.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8320042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under45c67.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.545459.3%32 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+36.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5719856.6%112 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2713248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711949.6%59 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2712149.6%60 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711452.6%60 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2715153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2712249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2711452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2713151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa96b…6565backed Over39c59.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.791346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over56c59.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.275543.6%24 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Under43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.695740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over44c54.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.553240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb0…f162backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over55c51.65$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.248652.3%45 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0156…2ddcbacked Over21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.51540%6 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.