Champions League · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x937de722f8deb4c75aa4a307cb8e5eeb2510a6b5ea86f76ca09a2dc0cd20a4bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 4,207$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.75 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 2,310$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.28 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 64c | 1,781$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 61c | 1,578$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.33 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 1,076$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.57 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 39c | 639.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.69 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 60c | 622$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.21 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 59c | 600$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 61c | 587.86$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 38c | 402$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 336.91$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 63c | 299.97$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 38c | 263.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 38c | 249.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 38c | 192.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 153.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.17 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 32c | 149.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 34c | 143$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 62c | 99.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 34c | 77.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 74.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…380ebacked Yes | 60c | 69.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 51c | 58.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 55c | 56.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…d3c7backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…031abacked Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 34.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Yes | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f9…5778backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 39c | 31.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed No | 39c | 30.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 60c | 28.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…580abacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.