TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c13,914$9,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,285.531,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under76c5,088$3,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.121369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Under68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.972458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9910748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over10c2,300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.531,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601520%3 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under66c1,508$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.234759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under76c1,300$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3122475%18 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under66c1,012$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.559441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over33c800$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26414447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over36c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over33c650$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21523947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1709445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Over27c460$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.92025%5 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over33c450$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.538356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over33c450$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.521354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13244955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13215657.1%89 W · 67 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over33c360$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.817855.6%99 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under67c350.92$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8213149.6%65 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over33c350$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.517251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9912242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9928357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over33c255.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4830657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6618754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1206…eaeebacked Under69c199.48$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over33c190$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.713252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over22c182.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9941238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over34c176.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605543.6%24 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over33c170$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.111548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over33c170$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.113352.6%70 W · 63 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over33c170$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.110949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over33c170$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.113548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over33c170$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.113751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over33c169.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0911449.1%56 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over33c160$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.815651.3%80 W · 76 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.518350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.514247.2%67 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506841.2%28 W · 40 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over17c144$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4859136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under65c123.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.086651.5%34 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over35c123.08$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0816251.2%83 W · 79 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.611747%55 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.611648.3%56 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.612652.4%66 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.611850%59 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over33c119.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5911650.9%59 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over36c119.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.148150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020655.3%114 W · 92 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over33c104.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.158850%44 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3311947.1%56 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338751.7%45 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Under64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368626.7%23 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over31c85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0511653.4%62 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over14c81.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1420042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.113853.6%74 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over31c69.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.644852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811548.7%56 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.813248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811949.6%59 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.812149.6%60 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811452.6%60 W · 54 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.815153%80 W · 71 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.812249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.813151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over33c59.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7911952.1%62 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over29c59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2922356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Under67c56.84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.763250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f63…3791backed Under64c53.28$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0bf…df87backed Over34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+30%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a3…b461backed Over32c49.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163225%8 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Over34c44.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+57.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under65c38.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.44755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Under66c36.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.622650%13 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a4f…5459backed Under48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.988252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under65c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3263150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.