TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a5f…4b52

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST4671.7%33 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$5,435.65
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,464Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$1,823.52
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,840
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$6,160
Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$1,540
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$4,225.79
Fulham FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.7%+$1,805.93
Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,731Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+41.7%+$1,556.96
Sheffield United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$5,082
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$5,390
Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,641Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+27.4%+$996.3
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,075Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,025
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,837.5
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,743Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,844.37
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,846
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,840
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,836.37
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$5,688
Hull City AFC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,024.7
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$3,378.76
Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$6,133.12
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$7,195.52
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$541.53
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$5,710.5
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$1,800
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2871.4%20 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick76cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,959Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,039.76
FC Schalke 04 vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$3,665.75
SV 07 Elversberg vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,655Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,032.64
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$3,349.24
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,741Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+37%+$1,013.85
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,964Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$1,836
Holstein Kiel vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,570Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,480.5
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Hannover 96: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,788
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$7,060.81
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,611Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.4%+$1,872.95
VfL Wolfsburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,028Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+37%+$1,859.49
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,840.95
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$6,082.26
SC Preußen Münster vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,839.77
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,431Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.3%+$1,816.92
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,555.4
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$1,540
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,497Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+34.1%+$1,876.97
RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,837.5
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$6,675.17
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,715Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,785.1
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,608Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+27.6%+$1,823.11
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$4,062.33
SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$1,800
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$6,006
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2090%18 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick77cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$5,475
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+25%+$1,577.4
ACF Fiorentina vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,784Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,803.28
Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,766Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,798.8
SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$1,819.95
Udinese Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$1,800
Pisa SC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,846Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,819.86
FC Internazionale Milano vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,882Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+31.7%+$1,864.06
SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,082Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,816.78
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,773Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,802.31
Atalanta BC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.2%+$1,823.36
Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$1,799.81
Juventus FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$564.1
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$583.33
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$632.43
US Lecce vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$1,000
Torino FC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,950Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$1,050
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$2,023.91
Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$985.07
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2085%17 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick75cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Telstar 1963 vs. AZ: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,959Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,539.72
FC Twente '65 vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,945Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,942.88
AFC Ajax vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,292Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+46.4%+$1,528.4
Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,754Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$1,533.52
FC Volendam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,592Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$424.14
SBV Excelsior vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$6,199.23
Aberdeen FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$1,008
Dundee FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+31.9%+$996.24
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$5,716.05
SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,683Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$3,683.48
FC Groningen vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$1,500
FC Twente '65 vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,947Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37.9%+$1,495.2
Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,753Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$997.5
Livingston FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$999.8
FC Volendam vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,168Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$1,632
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,229Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.4%+$1,850
Go Ahead Eagles vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,598Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+30%+$1,977
FC Utrecht vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,387Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+30.5%+$1,645.39
SBV Excelsior vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,906Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$1,595.58
Heracles Almelo vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,167Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$1,620.64
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,842.86
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,842.88
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,074Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,814.24
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,846.6
Real Racing Club vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$4,071.76
Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,825
Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,259Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,833.53
Villarreal CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$7,200
Real Oviedo vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$1,800
Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,474Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$1,826
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$281.6
Elche CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,028Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$572
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$148
Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$492.54
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,867Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$1,221.12
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,348Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+37%+$1,239.76
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,867Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$1,221.12
Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,942.88
SSC Napoli vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$4,148.76
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,044.48
Olympique de Marseille vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,474Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,824.79
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,669Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$1,880.96
Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,028Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$1,859.49
Sporting CP vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,286Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+44.4%+$1,901.56
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,840
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,527Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+32.6%+$1,802.26
Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,925.19
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick74cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)backed FC Metz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$543.72
FC Metz vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,863Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$6,863.22
FC Nantes vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$6,159.67
Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,473Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.9%+$1,827.8
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,680Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$1,819.82
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)backed FC Metz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$362.07
Angers SCO vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$5,217
Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,394Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.4%+$2,099.11
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,299Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+29.7%+$1,872.56
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$4,719.6
FC Lorient vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$1,800
OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25%+$499.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.