Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fdc800cc91760e64b00a4b92a893b1df1ed4e41bdf08c716d718d33d71e78ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 8,864$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,409.4 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 72c | 5,555$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.4 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 73c | 2,221$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.62 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 5c | 1,900$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 73c | 682.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Under | 76c | 665.25$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 62c | 483.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 63c | 246$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 242$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 61c | 227.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 201.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 24c | 197.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 63c | 197$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 63c | 195$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6a44backed Under | 79c | 127.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 38c | 123.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Over | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Under | 64c | 102.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 63c | 93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 63c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 63c | 89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Over | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5this page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.