Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x248378be6d46abc7f84398e6be1be3e44672599959e4458d06792799e53ce772
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 940.23$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.22 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…ca27backed Yes | 62c | 874.6$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x195b…c181backed Yes | 65c | 455.02$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b23…9b23backed Yes | 70c | 426.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7a…7839backed No | 37c | 350$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…2f6ebacked Yes | 63c | 345$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 35c | 297.02$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 232.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.19 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…42fbbacked No | 37c | 210$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…bd8abacked Yes | 63c | 170$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed No | 44c | 154.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…6044backed Yes | 63c | 130$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 63c | 127$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Yes | 63c | 127$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Yes | 63c | 121$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 63c | 114$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 28c | 106.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 70c | 94.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 63c | 83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 62c | 79.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…7935backed Yes | 47c | 76.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 63c | 76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…1f67backed No | 37c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 63c | 62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 63c | 52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…688dbacked Yes | 65c | 47.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Yes | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Yes | 63c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 64c | 31.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed No | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed No | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed No | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Yes | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed No | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.